Crafts · The Bravo Collection
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The Bravo Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1703527 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +7 218.67₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 6 278.84₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 13 497.51₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +115.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 15 894.31₽ · profit at most −2 396.80₽ (at most -15.1%) · chance of profit at most 25%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Minimal Wear) × 2 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 968.12 → 2139.55 ₽
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear) × 8 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 5310.72 → 13754.76 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −6 279 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −6 279 ₽: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Zirka (Factory New), StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ USP-S | Overgrowth (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Graven (Minimal Wear)

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Restricted
+7 218.67 ₽ +115.0% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Zirka (Factory New) · 38 636.31 ₽ · chance 25%
profit on prices without salesat least −6 279 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
  • 8× StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+17 717.67 ₽ +41.1% chance of profit 33%
expensive: StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New) · 126 952.56 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −43 122 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 10× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Graven (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0760

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0754
968.12 ₽
at 484.06
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075471f′ (normalized) 0.055256wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 25 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 40 · from 2 283.65 ₽ (float 0.0708) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0754
5 310.72 ₽
at 663.84
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075471f′ (normalized) 0.020907wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 5) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 6 278.84 ₽ +7 218.67 (+115.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.027777678 result 0.103333, 0.070000, 0.080555, 0.080555 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 25%
  • Losing outcome 50%
  • About break-even 25%
about break-even
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Bright Water
Minimal Wear
7 227.99 ₽ 25.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)net 6285.21 you get 0.103333
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 938.24 ₽ (you get 5 163.68)) · buy orders: 593 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 209.09 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 711.73 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 4 701.77 ₽ listings: 104 on CS.Money: ~ 5 310.80 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 020.42 ₽ listings: 88
in profit
best
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Zirka
Factory New
44 431.76 ₽ 25.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ M4A4 | Zirka (Factory New)net 38636.31 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 19 865.83 ₽ listings: 5 on Lis-Skins: from 20 637.61 ₽ listings: 6
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Graven
Minimal Wear
4 312.19 ₽ 25.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Graven (Minimal Wear)net 3749.73 you get 0.080555
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 3 394.46 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 722.00 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 3 091.40 ₽ listings: 15 on CS.Money: ~ 3 403.20 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 677.30 ₽ listings: 18
at a loss
StatTrak™ USP-S | Overgrowth
Minimal Wear
6 116.62 ₽ 25.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ USP-S | Overgrowth (Minimal Wear)net 5318.80 you get 0.080555
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 242.10 ₽ (you get 4 558.34)) · buy orders: 176 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 702.11 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 155.83 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 4 326.59 ₽ listings: 53 on CS.Money: ~ 4 383.13 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 676.08 ₽ listings: 61
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