Crafts · The Dead Hand Collection
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The Dead Hand Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1703634 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 106.65₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 6 584.12₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 9 690.77₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +47.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 16 245.98₽ · profit at most −6 555.21₽ (at most -40.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) × 8 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 4460.72 → 11553.26 ₽
P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) × 2 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 2123.40 → 4692.71 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Classified → Covert
+3 106.65 ₽ +47.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 50%
float out of reach
  • 8× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 2× P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+1 050.06 ₽ +55.6% chance of profit 67%
expensive: AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New) · 5 140.41 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly
  • 9× MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 3 Covert → нож или перчатки
+29 360.56 ₽ +27.7% chance of profit 64%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Factory New) · 366 000.01 ₽ · chance 4.5%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 27% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8
P90 | Deathgaze
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1683
4 460.72 ₽
at 557.59
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.168399f′ (normalized) 0.168399wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 281 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.24 per day, cheapest usually 1 191.47 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 100 · from 962.80 ₽ (float 0.1627) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
P250 | Kintsugi
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0763
2 123.40 ₽
at 1 061.70
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076399f′ (normalized) 0.076399wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 279 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 153) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 6 584.12 ₽ +3 106.65 (+47.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 all outcomes come out at 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 2 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 100%
  • Losing outcome 0%
in profit
best
AWP | Queen's Gambit
Minimal Wear
11 495.90 ₽ 50.00%
Steam AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear)net 9996.43 you get 0.150000 sells ≈71 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 10 502.37 ₽ (you get 9 132.49)) · buy orders: 1001
in profit
worst
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
Minimal Wear
10 792.87 ₽ 50.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear)net 9385.10 you get 0.150000 sells ≈40 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 10 508.11 ₽ (you get 9 137.48)) · buy orders: 3022 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 934.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 700.00 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 7 709.23 ₽ listings: 85 on CS.Money: ~ 8 778.24 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 983.34 ₽ listings: 96
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