Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1703678 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 050.15₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 969.36₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 019.51₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +108.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 441.76₽ · profit at most −422.24₽ (at most -17.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested) × 2 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 181.28 → 400.63 ₽
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 788.08 → 2041.13 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → Classified
+1 050.15 ₽ +108.3% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) · 2 074.57 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly
  • 2× P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1637
  • 8× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1637
Variant 2 Classified → Covert
+7 480.35 ₽ +79.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) · 18 406.53 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −9 369 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2
P2000 | Handgun
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1637
181.28 ₽
at 90.64
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163747f′ (normalized) 0.163747wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 160 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 72) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1637
788.08 ₽
at 98.51
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163747f′ (normalized) 0.046563wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 218 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 661.95 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 128) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 969.36 ₽ +1 050.15 (+108.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.022400, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 100%
  • Losing outcome 0%
in profit
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Factory New
2 305.66 ₽ 33.33%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New)net 2004.92 you get 0.070000 sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 116.16 ₽ (you get 1 840.13)) · buy orders: 693 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 859.60 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 039.04 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 1 666.91 ₽ listings: 45 on CS.Money: ~ 1 733.72 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 731.15 ₽ listings: 45
in profit
best
MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
2 385.76 ₽ 33.33%
Steam MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New)net 2074.57 you get 0.022400 sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 380.08 ₽ (you get 2 069.63)) · buy orders: 2273 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 987.81 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 179.62 · lots 43 on CSFloat: from 1 884.48 ₽ listings: 91 on CS.Money: ~ 1 960.71 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 879.34 ₽ listings: 112
in profit
worst
SG 553 | Cyrex
Factory New
2 275.90 ₽ 33.33%
price without deals
Steam SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)net 1979.04 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 255.77 ₽ (you get 1 961.53)) · buy orders: 1006 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 995.93 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 188.53 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 1 786.83 ₽ listings: 66 on CS.Money: ~ 1 814.24 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 898.18 ₽ listings: 101
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