Crafts · The Recoil Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Recoil Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1703985 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +262.03₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 869.54₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 131.57₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +14.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 4 701.31₴ · profit at most −2 569.74₴ (at most -54.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P250 | Visions (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 370.50 → 818.79 ₴
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) × 8 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 1499.04 → 3882.52 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Classified → Covert
+262.03 ₴ +14.0% chance of profit 50%
expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear) · 2 537.13 ₴ · chance 50%
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
Variant 2 Covert → нож или перчатки
+21 308.66 ₴ +106.3% chance of profit 71%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) · 118 771.85 ₴ · chance 4.2%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 58% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0094

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2
P250 | Visions
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1625
370.50 ₴
at 185.25
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162538f′ (normalized) 0.232198wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 713 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×8
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1625
1 499.04 ₴
at 187.38
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162538f′ (normalized) 0.162538wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 544 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · among lots up to 396.46 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 1 869.54 ₴ +262.03 (+14.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.176470488 result 0.123529, 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 2 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 50%
at a loss
worst
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Minimal Wear
1 984.90 ₴ 50.00%
Steam AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)net 1726.00 you get 0.123529 sells 140 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 976.69 ₴ (you get 1 718.86)) · buy orders: 3940
in profit
best
USP-S | Printstream
Minimal Wear
2 917.70 ₴ 50.00%
Steam USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear)net 2537.13 you get 0.150000 sells 133 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 257.92 ₴ (you get 2 832.97)) · buy orders: 2282
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