The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +19 219.20₴

Invest 12 410.38₴

Average return 31 629.59₴

ROI +154.9%

Chance of profit 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 32 220.63₴ · profit at most −591.05₴ (at most -1.8%) · chance of profit at most 50%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 890.79 → 1924.11 ₴

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) × 9 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 11519.59 → 30296.53 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 50.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -1 014.65 ₴.

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one Classified → Covert

+19 219.20 ₴ +154.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 40 467.71 ₴ · chance 50%

продажа ненадёжна

1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
9× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749

Variant 2 Mil-Spec → Restricted

+4 273.65 ₴ +201.1% chance of profit 40%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 26 120.27 ₴ · chance 20%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 881 ₴

10× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0856

Variant 3 Restricted → Classified

+1 461.10 ₴ +52.8% chance of profit 50%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Factory New) · 7 221.53 ₴ · chance 25%

profit on prices without salesat least −2 127 ₴

1× StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1810
9× StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0808

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

890.79 ₴

at 890.79

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

11 519.59 ₴

at 1 279.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 410.38 ₴ +19 219.20 (+154.9%)

What you get 2 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

41 293.58 ₴ 50.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

worst

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

26 210.17 ₴ 50.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +17 804.64 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +19 125.56 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Market check at night · fresher — with «Check floats on Steam»

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 2 outcomes

More

How to build