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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +269.08₴

Invest 338.34₴

Average return 607.42₴

ROI +79.5%

Chance of profit 98%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 868.24₴ · profit at most −260.82₴ (at most -30.0%) · chance of profit at most 4%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) × 9 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 292.39 → 768.98 ₴

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 45.95 → 99.26 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

+269.08 ₴ +79.5% chance of profit 98%

expensive: M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) · 1 546.09 ₴ · chance 2.0%

rare inputs

9× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
1× G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection

+1 139.12 ₴ +274.4% chance of profit 46%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 6 110.12 ₴ · chance 18%

sells slowly

1× USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054

Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection

+418.90 ₴ +116.8% chance of profit 92%

expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 5 006.99 ₴ · chance 4.0%

rare inputs

8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
2× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623

Variant 4 The Anubis Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection

+407.27 ₴ +109.4% chance of profit 100%

expensive: Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Factory New) · 3 189.53 ₴ · chance 6.7%

rare inputs

8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
2× Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623

Variant 5 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection

+339.68 ₴ +110.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 1 599.95 ₴ · chance 6.7%

pricier variants exist

8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
2× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection

+337.92 ₴ +98.1% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 2 742.84 ₴ · chance 4.0%

rare inputs

8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
2× SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

292.39 ₴

at 32.49

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

45.95 ₴

at 45.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 338.34 ₴ +269.08 (+79.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 98%
Losing outcome 2%

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

602.59 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

561.10 ₴ 30.00%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

P250 | Vino Primo

Factory New

864.18 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | ZX Spectron

Factory New

1 167.14 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol

Factory New

516.21 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Spider Lily

Factory New

1 778.00 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Factory New

288.22 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Mount Fuji

Factory New

759.31 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +123.04 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +213.70 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1704226 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 275.21₴ · invest 415.53₴
pricier variants exist

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.003606 instead of 0.004144
Craft 1704545 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 265.05₴ · invest 344.26₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.003814 instead of 0.004144

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build