Crafts · The 2018 Inferno Collection
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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1704836 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +771.44₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 422.28₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 193.72₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +54.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 543.69₽ · profit at most −1 349.97₽ (at most -38.1%) · chance of profit at most 22%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 62.00 → 133.92 ₽
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 2 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 173.36 → 383.13 ₽
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 7 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 1186.92 → 3026.65 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −644 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −644 ₽: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection
+771.44 ₽ +54.2% chance of profit 45%
expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 6 288.88 ₽ · chance 22%
profit on prices without salesat least −644 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 2× MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
  • 7× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+2 173.92 ₽ +274.4% chance of profit 46%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+799.44 ₽ +116.8% chance of profit 92%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 4.0%
rare inputs pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 2× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
Variant 4 The Anubis Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+777.23 ₽ +109.4% chance of profit 100%
expensive: Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Factory New) · 6 086.96 ₽ · chance 6.7%
rare inputs pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 2× Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
Variant 5 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+648.25 ₽ +110.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 6.7%
pricier variants exist
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 2× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+644.89 ₽ +98.1% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 5 234.48 ₽ · chance 4.0%
rare inputs pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 2× SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Sawed-Off | Brake Light
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
62.00 ₽
at 62.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003883f′ (normalized) 0.048541wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 1 379 · good ≈ 18
Market history: no data yet
×2
MAG-7 | Firestarter
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1627
173.36 ₽
at 86.68
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162759f′ (normalized) 0.238975wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 104 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×7
UMP-45 | Delusion
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0744
1 186.92 ₽
at 169.56
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074438f′ (normalized) 0.049786wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 79 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 1 422.28 ₽ +771.44 (+54.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.040125, 0.070000, 0.059500, 0.087500, 0.052500, 0.021875, 0.087500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 7 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
at a loss
Glock-18 | Grinder
Factory New
858.36 ₽ 22.50%
Steam Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New)net 746.40 you get 0.040125The Vanguard Collection sells 64 a week sell now to a buy order: 859.66 ₽ (you get 747.53)) · buy orders: 14620 sell on Market.CSGO: 655.26 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 718.49 · lots 83 on CSFloat: from 598.75 ₽ listings: 435 on CS.Money: ~ 641.58 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 636.44 ₽ listings: 280
in profit
best
M4A4 | Griffin
Factory New
7 232.21 ₽ 22.50%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New)net 6288.88 you get 0.070000The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 446.96 ₽ (you get 5 606.05)) · buy orders: 5075 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 459.36 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 986.15 · lots 39 on CSFloat: from 5 139.49 ₽ listings: 59 on CS.Money: ~ 5 554.07 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 386.18 ₽ listings: 158
in profit
M4A1-S | Basilisk
Factory New
2 494.55 ₽ 22.50%
Steam M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New)net 2169.17 you get 0.059500The Vanguard Collection sells 40 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 485.27 ₽ (you get 2 161.10)) · buy orders: 4448 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 099.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 302.40 · lots 57 on CSFloat: from 2 082.35 ₽ listings: 186 on CS.Money: ~ 2 108.90 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 060.08 ₽ listings: 211
at a loss
worst
Sawed-Off | Highwayman
Minimal Wear
257.11 ₽ 22.50%
Steam Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear)net 223.57 you get 0.087500The Vanguard Collection sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 213.24 ₽ (you get 185.42)) · buy orders: 2895 sell on Market.CSGO: 182.12 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 199.70 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 176.46 ₽ listings: 18 on CS.Money: ~ 191.02 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 183.31 ₽ listings: 61
at a loss
AK-47 | Safety Net
Factory New
1 150.00 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AK-47 | Safety Net (Factory New)net 1000.00 you get 0.052500 sells 86 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 100.63 ₽ (you get 957.06)) · buy orders: 2961 sell on Market.CSGO: 862.42 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 945.64 · lots 69 on CSFloat: from 814.61 ₽ listings: 238 on CS.Money: ~ 851.44 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 839.45 ₽ listings: 561
at a loss
MP7 | Fade
Factory New
1 070.81 ₽ 3.33%
pricier variants exist
Steam MP7 | Fade (Factory New)net 931.14 you get 0.021875 sells 193 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 070.03 ₽ (you get 930.46)) · buy orders: 10758 sell on Market.CSGO: 909.29 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 997.03 · lots 160 on CSFloat: from 824.03 ₽ listings: 940 on CS.Money: ~ 864.29 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 893.41 ₽ listings: 1024
at a loss
P250 | Vino Primo
Minimal Wear
277.55 ₽ 3.33%
Steam P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear)net 241.35 you get 0.087500 sells 131 a week sell now to a buy order: 282.09 ₽ (you get 245.29)) · buy orders: 7026 sell on Market.CSGO: 215.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 235.83 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 225.28 ₽ listings: 170 on CS.Money: ~ 259.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 213.29 ₽ listings: 94
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