The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +306.30₴

Invest 327.15₴

Average return 633.45₴

ROI +93.6%

Chance of profit 96%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 821.76₴ · profit at most −188.32₴ (at most -22.9%) · chance of profit at most 8%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) × 8 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 259.90 → 673.14 ₴

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 67.25 → 148.62 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Wildfire Collection

+306.30 ₴ +93.6% chance of profit 96%

expensive: Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Factory New) · 1 737.35 ₴ · chance 4.0%

rare inputs

8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
2× Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+1 139.12 ₴ +274.4% chance of profit 46%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 6 110.12 ₴ · chance 18%

sells slowly

1× USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054

Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+418.90 ₴ +116.8% chance of profit 92%

expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 5 006.99 ₴ · chance 4.0%

rare inputs

8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
2× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623

Variant 4 The Anubis Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+407.27 ₴ +109.4% chance of profit 100%

expensive: Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Factory New) · 3 189.53 ₴ · chance 6.7%

rare inputs

8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
2× Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623

Variant 5 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+339.68 ₴ +110.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 1 599.95 ₴ · chance 6.7%

pricier variants exist

8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
2× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+337.92 ₴ +98.1% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 2 742.84 ₴ · chance 4.0%

rare inputs

8× Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
2× SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

259.90 ₴

at 32.49

Steam

×2

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

67.25 ₴

at 33.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 327.15 ₴ +306.30 (+93.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −188 ₴

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

32.49 ₴

at 32.49

Steam

×8

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

524.50 ₴

at 65.56

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

101.62 ₴

at 101.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 658.61 ₴ +134.64 (+20.4%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

227.41 ₴

at 32.49

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

33.62 ₴

at 33.62

Steam

×2

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

131.12 ₴

at 65.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 392.16 ₴ +264.11 (+67.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 92%
Losing outcome 4%
About break-even 4%

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

602.59 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

561.10 ₴ 26.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

P250 | Vino Primo

Factory New

864.18 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

1 436.61 ₴ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

621.83 ₴ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

1 997.95 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

250.92 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

385.14 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +163.39 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +252.68 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Wildfire Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build