Crafts · The 2018 Nuke Collection
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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1704906 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +9 117.10₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 22 064.78₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 181.88₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +41.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 52 858.40₽ · profit at most −21 676.52₽ (at most -41.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 800.00 → 1728.00 ₽
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 12288.00 → 30842.88 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 8976.78 → 20287.52 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −22 046 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −22 046 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), M4A1-S | Control Panel (Minimal Wear)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection
+9 117.10 ₽ +41.3% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −22 046 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1629
  • 3× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 680.57 ₽ +58.5% chance of profit 35%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
Variant 3 The Boreal Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+644.32 ₽ +34.1% chance of profit 95%
expensive: M4A1-S | Control Panel (Minimal Wear) · 3 352.68 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 7× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 2× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+630.37 ₽ +32.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: M4A1-S | Control Panel (Minimal Wear) · 3 352.68 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 7× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620
  • 2× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620
Variant 5 The Arabesque Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+611.53 ₽ +16.7% chance of profit 45%
expensive: M4A4 | Falak (Minimal Wear) · 5 782.40 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 9× P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+13 285.55 ₽ +82.8% chance of profit 75%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 25%
profit on prices without salesat least −15 624 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 5× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Souvenir AUG | Random Access
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
800.00 ₽
at 800.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003953f′ (normalized) 0.007906wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×6
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1629
12 288.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162988f′ (normalized) 0.139173wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
8 976.78 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003953f′ (normalized) 0.010683wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 22 064.78 ₽ +9 117.10 (+41.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.070000, 0.048125, 0.087500, 0.087500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.070000The 2021 Mirage Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.048125The 2021 Mirage Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
M4A1-S | Control Panel
Minimal Wear
3 855.58 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam M4A1-S | Control Panel (Minimal Wear)net 3352.68 you get 0.087500
by lot · 1 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 3 292.90 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 610.64 · lots 26 on CSFloat: from 3 083.69 ₽ listings: 85 on CS.Money: ~ 3 020.31 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 163.35 ₽ listings: 281
at a loss
worst
Tec-9 | Remote Control
Minimal Wear
431.78 ₽ 5.00%
Steam Tec-9 | Remote Control (Minimal Wear)net 375.46 you get 0.087500 sells 77 a week sell now to a buy order: 429.35 ₽ (you get 373.34)) · buy orders: 5593 sell on Market.CSGO: 356.09 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 390.45 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 329.78 ₽ listings: 104 on CS.Money: ~ 342.63 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 344.35 ₽ listings: 189
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