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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +4 757.37₴

Invest 12 617.84₴

Average return 17 375.21₴

ROI +37.7%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 30 856.89₴ · profit at most −13 481.68₴ (at most -43.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 113.05 → 244.19 ₴

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 3097.23 → 6999.74 ₴

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 9407.56 → 23612.96 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −12 573 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection

+4 757.37 ₴ +37.7% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) · 23 744.62 ₴ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −12 573 ₴

1× AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
3× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
6× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

+880.61 ₴ +58.5% chance of profit 35%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616

Variant 3 The Boreal Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

+337.62 ₴ +34.1% chance of profit 95%

expensive: M4A1-S | Control Panel (Minimal Wear) · 1 756.78 ₴ · chance 5.0%

rare inputs

1× AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
7× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
2× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036

Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

+330.31 ₴ +32.8% chance of profit 95%

expensive: M4A1-S | Control Panel (Minimal Wear) · 1 756.78 ₴ · chance 5.0%

rare inputs

1× AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
7× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620
2× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620

Variant 5 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

+320.44 ₴ +16.7% chance of profit 45%

expensive: M4A4 | Falak (Minimal Wear) · 3 029.94 ₴ · chance 45%

rare inputs

1× Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
9× P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656

Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

+7 876.90 ₴ +55.6% chance of profit 75%

expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 29 244.79 ₴ · chance 25%

profit on prices without salesat least −14 155 ₴

5× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
5× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

AUG | Random Access

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

113.05 ₴

at 113.05

Steam

×3

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

3 097.23 ₴

at 1 032.41

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

9 407.56 ₴

at 1 567.93

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 12 617.84 ₴ +4 757.37 (+37.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −11 379 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

AUG | Random Access

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

113.05 ₴

at 113.05

Steam

×1

Souvenir AUG | Random Access

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

419.20 ₴

at 419.20

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

3 097.23 ₴

at 1 032.41

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

7 839.63 ₴

at 1 567.93

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 11 469.10 ₴ +4 574.30 (+39.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Panthera onca

Factory New

27 306.31 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P90 | Run and Hide

Factory New

15 719.82 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Factory New

11 362.27 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Factory New

1 032.42 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 161.39 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 477.73 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1706581 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 5 062.99₴ · invest 13 577.92₴
profit on prices without salesat least −13 578 ₴ rare inputs

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) instead of AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.074590; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.004399 instead of 0.004016
Craft 1705753 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 4 624.07₴ · invest 13 950.17₴
profit on prices without salesat least −13 950 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build