Crafts · The 2018 Nuke Collection
$≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.0117 $. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1705292 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +7.03$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 6.75$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 13.78$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +104.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 80%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 16.41$ · profit at most −2.63$ (at most -16.0%) · chance of profit at most 20%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 6 12% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 3.10 → 7.78 $
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) × 4 12% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 3.65 → 8.64 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection
+7.03 $ +104.2% chance of profit 80%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 35.65 $ · chance 20%
  • 6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0792
  • 4× Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0080
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+25.74 $ +269.8% chance of profit 46%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 136.13 $ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+8.96 $ +54.3% chance of profit 44%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 111.55 $ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 6× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+7.52 $ +120.5% chance of profit 53%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 35.65 $ · chance 20%
  • 6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
  • 4× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
Variant 5 The Boreal Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+7.16 $ +148.2% chance of profit 60%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 35.65 $ · chance 20%
  • 6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
  • 4× MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 6 The Ascent Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+7.14 $ +100.2% chance of profit 60%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 35.65 $ · chance 20%
  • 6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
  • 4× Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

12% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 12% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
P90 | Facility Negative
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0792
3.10 $
at 0.52
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.079246f′ (normalized) 0.158493wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 428 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 84) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0080
3.65 $
at 0.91
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008091f′ (normalized) 0.012259wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 441 · good ≈ 11
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 117 · from 1.58 $ (float 0.0076) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 6.75 $ +7.03 (+104.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.099999900 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.050000, 0.070000, 0.100000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 80%
  • Losing outcome 20%
in profit
AWP | Exothermic
Factory New
9.69 $ 20.00%
Steam AWP | Exothermic (Factory New)net 8.43 you get 0.070000The Harlequin Collection sells ≈422 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 9.91 $ (you get 8.62)) · buy orders: 7277 sell on Market.CSGO: 7.42 $ to your card cheapest lot 8.14 · lots 37 on CSFloat: from 7.24 $ listings: 409 on CS.Money: ~ 8.72 $ on Lis-Skins: from 7.74 $ listings: 422
in profit
USP-S | Sleeping Potion
Factory New
9.20 $ 20.00%
Steam USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New)net 8.00 you get 0.070000The Harlequin Collection sells 388 a week sell now to a buy order: 9.08 $ (you get 7.89)) · buy orders: 10619 sell on Market.CSGO: 7.11 $ to your card cheapest lot 7.80 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 7.03 $ listings: 430 on CS.Money: ~ 8.57 $ on Lis-Skins: from 7.42 $ listings: 134
in profit
AUG | Random Access
Factory New
12.54 $ 20.00%
Steam AUG | Random Access (Factory New)net 10.90 you get 0.050000 sells 58 a week sell now to a buy order: 12.19 $ (you get 10.60)) · buy orders: 11587 sell on Market.CSGO: 10.64 $ to your card cheapest lot 11.66 · lots 41 on CSFloat: from 9.01 $ listings: 138 on CS.Money: ~ 9.28 $ on Lis-Skins: from 10.37 $ listings: 152
in profit
best
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden
Factory New
40.99 $ 20.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New)net 35.65 you get 0.070000 sells ≈28 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 41.75 $ (you get 36.31)) · buy orders: 8821 sell on Market.CSGO: 34.86 $ to your card cheapest lot 38.22 · lots 101 on CSFloat: from 33.55 $ listings: 262 on CS.Money: ~ 35.54 $ on Lis-Skins: from 35.41 $ listings: 289
at a loss
worst
MAG-7 | Core Breach
Minimal Wear
6.83 $ 20.00%
Steam MAG-7 | Core Breach (Minimal Wear)net 5.94 you get 0.100000 sells 44 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 5.43 $ to your card cheapest lot 5.95 · lots 34 on CSFloat: from 5.47 $ listings: 69 on CS.Money: ~ 5.41 $ on Lis-Skins: from 5.62 $ listings: 63
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