Crafts · The 2018 Nuke Collection
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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1705458 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +568.69₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 534.64₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 103.33₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +106.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 53%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 302.91₽ · profit at most −199.58₽ (at most -15.3%) · chance of profit at most 20%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 6 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 265.44 → 666.25 ₽
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) × 4 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 269.20 → 636.66 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection
+568.69 ₽ +106.4% chance of profit 53%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%
  • 6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0784
  • 4× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0073
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+2 204.68 ₽ +269.8% chance of profit 46%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+767.08 ₽ +54.3% chance of profit 44%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 6× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
Variant 4 The Boreal Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+613.52 ₽ +148.2% chance of profit 60%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%
  • 6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
  • 4× MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 5 The Ascent Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+611.77 ₽ +100.2% chance of profit 60%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%
  • 6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
  • 4× Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 6 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+610.40 ₽ +159.1% chance of profit 60%
expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 3 053.38 ₽ · chance 20%
  • 6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 4× Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) buy 0.1000–0.1027

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
P90 | Facility Negative
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0784
265.44 ₽
at 44.24
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.078421f′ (normalized) 0.156842wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 428 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×4
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0073
269.20 ₽
at 67.30
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007368f′ (normalized) 0.014736wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 877 · good ≈ 21
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 172.50 ₽ · little data: 2.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 534.64 ₽ +568.69 (+106.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.099999900 result 0.050000, 0.070000, 0.100000, 0.075000, 0.067000, 0.060000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 53%
  • Losing outcome 27%
  • About break-even 20%
in profit
AUG | Random Access
Factory New
1 073.81 ₽ 20.00%
Steam AUG | Random Access (Factory New)net 933.75 you get 0.050000 sells 58 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 044.21 ₽ (you get 908.00)) · buy orders: 11587 sell on Market.CSGO: 911.26 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 999.19 · lots 41 on CSFloat: from 771.78 ₽ listings: 138 on CS.Money: ~ 794.91 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 888.27 ₽ listings: 152
in profit
best
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden
Factory New
3 511.39 ₽ 20.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New)net 3053.38 you get 0.070000 sells ≈28 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 3 576.33 ₽ (you get 3 109.85)) · buy orders: 8821 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 985.70 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 273.80 · lots 101 on CSFloat: from 2 873.83 ₽ listings: 262 on CS.Money: ~ 3 044.29 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 033.15 ₽ listings: 289
about break-even
MAG-7 | Core Breach
Minimal Wear
585.09 ₽ 20.00%
Steam MAG-7 | Core Breach (Minimal Wear)net 508.77 you get 0.100000 sells 44 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 464.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 509.64 · lots 34 on CSFloat: from 468.55 ₽ listings: 69 on CS.Money: ~ 463.41 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 481.40 ₽ listings: 63
in profit
Desert Eagle | Mulberry
Minimal Wear
674.18 ₽ 13.33%
Steam Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Minimal Wear)net 586.24 you get 0.075000The Radiant Collection sells 820 a week sell now to a buy order: 627.29 ₽ (you get 545.46)) · buy orders: 6871 sell on Market.CSGO: 508.36 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 557.42 · lots 34 on CSFloat: from 513.95 ₽ listings: 466 on CS.Money: ~ 609.03 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 535.36 ₽ listings: 220
at a loss
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
Factory New
562.28 ₽ 13.33%
Steam M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New)net 488.94 you get 0.067000The Radiant Collection sells 330 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 457.39 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 501.53 · lots 65 on CSFloat: from 436.86 ₽ listings: 323 on CS.Money: ~ 465.12 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 460.84 ₽ listings: 686
at a loss
worst
USP-S | Bleeding Edge
Factory New
524.35 ₽ 13.33%
Steam USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New)net 455.96 you get 0.060000The Radiant Collection sells 412 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 405.82 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 444.98 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 401.74 ₽ listings: 267 on CS.Money: ~ 471.98 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 427.43 ₽ listings: 350
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