to all crafts

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +278.64₴

Invest 450.52₴

Average return 729.16₴

ROI +61.9%

Chance of profit 60%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 048.92₴ · profit at most −319.76₴ (at most -30.5%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 139.09 → 349.11 ₴

P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 271.17 → 612.84 ₴

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 40.26 → 86.97 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

+278.64 ₴ +61.8% chance of profit 60%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 1 599.95 ₴ · chance 30%

rare inputs

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
3× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
1× UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+1 155.24 ₴ +269.8% chance of profit 46%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 6 110.12 ₴ · chance 18%

sells slowly

1× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053

Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+401.95 ₴ +54.3% chance of profit 44%

expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 5 006.99 ₴ · chance 8.0%

rare inputs

6× P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630

Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+337.49 ₴ +120.5% chance of profit 53%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 1 599.95 ₴ · chance 20%

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
4× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042

Variant 5 The Boreal Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+321.48 ₴ +148.2% chance of profit 60%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 1 599.95 ₴ · chance 20%

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
4× MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

Variant 6 The Ascent Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+320.56 ₴ +100.2% chance of profit 60%

expensive: Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) · 1 599.95 ₴ · chance 20%

6× P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
4× Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

139.09 ₴

at 23.18

Steam

×3

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

271.17 ₴

at 90.39

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

40.26 ₴

at 40.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 450.52 ₴ +278.64 (+61.9%)

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

115.91 ₴

at 23.18

Steam

×2

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

180.78 ₴

at 90.39

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

120.79 ₴

at 40.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 417.48 ₴ +199.46 (+47.8%)

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

92.73 ₴

at 23.18

Steam

×2

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

180.78 ₴

at 90.39

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

94.46 ₴

at 31.49

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

40.26 ₴

at 40.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 408.23 ₴ +152.60 (+37.4%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

69.54 ₴

at 23.18

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

31.49 ₴

at 31.49

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

241.58 ₴

at 40.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 342.61 ₴ +49.87 (+14.6%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

46.36 ₴

at 23.18

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

125.95 ₴

at 31.49

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

161.05 ₴

at 40.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 333.36 ₴ +3.01 (+0.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

562.67 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

1 839.95 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

306.58 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

380.10 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

270.52 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

122.70 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +147.49 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +212.54 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 38 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1705247 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 293.82₴ · invest 421.75₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705469 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 293.71₴ · invest 418.13₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705203 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 293.70₴ · invest 418.11₴
rare inputs

P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074478 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003918 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705478 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 293.28₴ · invest 417.70₴
rare inputs

P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074478 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003918 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705307 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 293.26₴ · invest 445.41₴
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705157 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 293.18₴ · invest 422.02₴
rare inputs

M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705575 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 292.62₴ · invest 432.59₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705223 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 291.78₴ · invest 428.84₴
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705539 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 291.37₴ · invest 426.46₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705434 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 289.52₴ · invest 430.34₴
rare inputs

MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075108 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004470 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705523 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 288.27₴ · invest 435.76₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705490 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 288.06₴ · invest 432.34₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705400 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 287.81₴ · invest 436.59₴
rare inputs

Nova | Wurst Hölle (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705427 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 286.79₴ · invest 426.06₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705004 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 286.35₴ · invest 450.46₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705083 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 285.75₴ · invest 433.96₴
rare inputs

P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705590 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 285.14₴ · invest 453.10₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705194 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 284.65₴ · invest 442.19₴
rare inputs

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705557 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 284.43₴ · invest 437.20₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077591 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.006642 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705089 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 284.11₴ · invest 435.54₴
rare inputs

FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705119 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 284.10₴ · invest 437.09₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004298 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705185 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 283.86₴ · invest 432.88₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705235 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 283.50₴ · invest 430.58₴
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705479 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 283.45₴ · invest 428.33₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075080 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004445 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705120 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 282.54₴ · invest 437.09₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078421 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.007368 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705090 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 279.52₴ · invest 440.95₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075001 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004376 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705428 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 278.75₴ · invest 435.46₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077067 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.006184 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705350 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 278.67₴ · invest 431.27₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075676 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004966 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705224 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 277.56₴ · invest 446.84₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075046 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004415 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705029 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 277.15₴ · invest 455.42₴
rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078552 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.007483 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705128 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 276.25₴ · invest 455.54₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078421 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.007368 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705373 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 274.94₴ · invest 489.38₴
rare inputs

M249 | Deep Relief (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705327 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 271.94₴ · invest 441.03₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078552 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.007483 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705236 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 271.12₴ · invest 447.78₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076181 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.005408 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705311 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 269.59₴ · invest 472.26₴
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1705645 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 268.20₴ · invest 492.43₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075569 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004873 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705623 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train Collection · profit 267.28₴ · invest 441.59₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078231 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.007202 instead of 0.004315
Craft 1705518 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 267.03₴ · invest 445.10₴
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078231 instead of 0.074931; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.007202 instead of 0.004315

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build