Crafts · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1705920 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 869.87₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 26 175.96₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 30 045.83₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +14.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 68 728.61₽ · profit at most −38 682.78₽ (at most -56.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) × 9 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 25933.05 → 68203.92 ₽
M249 | Aztec (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 242.91 → 524.69 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −26 125 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −26 125 ₽: SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New), UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New), MP9 | Hydra (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection
+3 869.87 ₽ +14.8% chance of profit 45%
expensive: SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New) · 47 060.23 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −26 125 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
  • 1× M249 | Aztec (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+2 422.56 ₽ +55.9% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Aztec (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+2 179.30 ₽ +44.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Aztec (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+1 717.77 ₽ +62.8% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 7× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+1 565.09 ₽ +42.7% chance of profit 93%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 90%
rare inputs
  • 1× M249 | Aztec (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+1 287.83 ₽ +67.2% chance of profit 63%
expensive: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 6 788.25 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 1× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9
MAC-10 | Case Hardened
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0768
25 933.05 ₽
at 2 881.45
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076885f′ (normalized) 0.076885wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 26 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 106) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
M249 | Aztec
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0060
242.91 ₽
at 242.91
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006024f′ (normalized) 0.008032wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 81 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 881.79 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 55) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 26 175.96 ₽ +3 869.87 (+14.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.005600, 0.028000, 0.070000, 0.039900 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
SSG 08 | Death Strike
Factory New
54 119.27 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New)net 47060.23 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 36 224.25 ₽ (you get 31 499.34)) · buy orders: 391 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 876.17 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 38 241.42 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 27 351.49 ₽ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 26 510.33 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 26 802.43 ₽ listings: 28
at a loss
UMP-45 | Fade
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.005600
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 678.44 ₽ (you get 17 111.68)) · buy orders: 757 sell on Market.CSGO: 17 328.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 19 000.00 · lots 19 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 15 338.80 ₽ listings: 44 on CS.Money: ~ 15 740.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 15 329.38 ₽ listings: 51
at a loss
worst
AUG | Death by Puppy
Factory New
828.48 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New)net 720.42 you get 0.028000The CS20 Collection sells 41 a week sell now to a buy order: 824.28 ₽ (you get 716.76)) · buy orders: 2568 sell on Market.CSGO: 674.70 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 739.81 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 600.46 ₽ listings: 100 on CS.Money: ~ 662.14 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 662.99 ₽ listings: 173
at a loss
MP9 | Hydra
Factory New
4 987.11 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam MP9 | Hydra (Factory New)net 4336.62 you get 0.070000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 304.03 ₽ (you get 3 742.63)) · buy orders: 3314 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 630.51 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 980.83 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 3 429.75 ₽ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 3 750.11 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 539.39 ₽ listings: 96
at a loss
P90 | Nostalgia
Factory New
928.61 ₽ 3.33%
Steam P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New)net 807.49 you get 0.039900The CS20 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 926.60 ₽ (you get 805.73)) · buy orders: 5252 sell on Market.CSGO: 724.12 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 794.00 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 712.68 ₽ listings: 73 on CS.Money: ~ 740.09 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 788.05 ₽ listings: 77
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