The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +20 684.07₸

Invest 137 486.63₸

Average return 158 170.70₸

ROI +15.0%

Chance of profit 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 361 257.93₸ · profit at most −203 087.23₸ (at most -56.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 136780.49 → 359732.70 ₸

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 706.13 → 1525.25 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −136 758 ₸

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection

+20 684.10 ₸ +15.0% chance of profit 45%

expensive: SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New) · 248 213.05 ₸ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −136 758 ₸

9× MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
1× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

+13 317.00 ₸ +207.2% chance of profit 60%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 94 491.34 ₸ · chance 13%

sells slowly

6× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636

Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

+11 767.44 ₸ +46.8% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 41 681.97 ₸ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766

Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

+9 277.58 ₸ +65.4% chance of profit 30%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 66 954.06 ₸ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651

Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

+8 646.36 ₸ +72.3% chance of profit 73%

expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 29 490.16 ₸ · chance 60%

rare inputs

4× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747

Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

+7 129.30 ₸ +46.2% chance of profit 70%

expensive: AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) · 37 838.70 ₸ · chance 35%

sells slowly

3× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0083
7× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0794

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9

MAC-10 | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

136 780.49 ₸

at 15 197.83

Steam

×1

Negev | Lionfish

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

706.13 ₸

at 706.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 137 486.63 ₸ +20 684.07 (+15.0%)

profit on prices without sales at least −11 542 ₸

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

12 658.49 ₸

at 12 658.49

souvenirSteam

×3

UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

1 207.14 ₸

at 402.38

Steam

×6

Negev | Lionfish

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

4 236.80 ₸

at 706.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 102.43 ₸ +5 951.92 (+32.9%)

profit on prices without sales at least −104 906 ₸

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

13 787.10 ₸

at 13 787.10

souvenirSteam

×6

MAC-10 | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

91 187.00 ₸

at 15 197.83

Steam

×3

Negev | Lionfish

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

2 118.40 ₸

at 706.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 107 092.49 ₸ +17 549.15 (+16.4%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

SSG 08 | Death Strike

Factory New

285 445.04 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Fade

Factory New

116 906.09 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Stymphalian

Factory New

5 084.12 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Mortis

Factory New

6 065.53 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Cortex

Factory New

14 000.13 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4 973.57 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15 945.42 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Clutch Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1706317 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 20 644.59₸ · invest 139 746.17₸
profit on prices without salesat least −136 797 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1706137 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 20 630.79₸ · invest 140 653.73₸
profit on prices without salesat least −136 811 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | PAW (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1706395 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 20 581.71₸ · invest 137 643.06₸
profit on prices without salesat least −137 398 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1706174 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 20 568.68₸ · invest 137 418.69₸
profit on prices without salesat least −136 873 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076721 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1705754 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 20 433.59₸ · invest 147 172.43₸
profit on prices without salesat least −147 172 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077970 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1706323 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 20 415.97₸ · invest 137 502.71₸
profit on prices without salesat least −137 026 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1705920 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 20 411.11₸ · invest 138 061.69₸
profit on prices without salesat least −137 793 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076885 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1706500 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 20 315.37₸ · invest 139 690.26₸
profit on prices without salesat least −139 299 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1706068 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 20 221.76₸ · invest 138 521.04₸
profit on prices without salesat least −137 643 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Ocular (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1705986 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 20 205.85₸ · invest 138 785.18₸
profit on prices without salesat least −137 579 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1706247 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 20 093.63₸ · invest 140 256.62₸
profit on prices without salesat least −137 348 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076885 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1706339 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 20 020.08₸ · invest 138 784.91₸
profit on prices without salesat least −137 802 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1706273 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 19 991.62₸ · invest 138 278.41₸
profit on prices without salesat least −137 450 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1706262 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 19 974.26₸ · invest 146 504.01₸
profit on prices without salesat least −146 504 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079575 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1705950 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 19 815.46₸ · invest 138 516.55₸
profit on prices without salesat least −138 026 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076885 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1705732 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 19 789.76₸ · invest 139 509.98₸
profit on prices without salesat least −137 652 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1706492 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 18 766.17₸ · invest 140 028.03₸
profit on prices without salesat least −140 028 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1706223 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 18 733.85₸ · invest 146 393.14₸
profit on prices without salesat least −144 491 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Death Grip (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.076609
Craft 1706502 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 18 670.47₸ · invest 141 164.39₸
profit on prices without salesat least −140 193 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076609

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build