Crafts · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1706068 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 833.97₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 26 263.05₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 30 097.02₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +14.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 68 916.72₽ · profit at most −38 819.71₽ (at most -56.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) × 9 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 25933.05 → 68203.92 ₽
Nova | Ocular (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 330.00 → 712.80 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −26 097 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −26 097 ₽: SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New), UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New), Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection
+3 833.97 ₽ +14.6% chance of profit 45%
expensive: SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New) · 47 060.23 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −26 097 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+2 386.66 ₽ +54.0% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+2 143.40 ₽ +43.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+1 708.02 ₽ +61.8% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1643
  • 7× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1643
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+1 529.19 ₽ +40.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 90%
rare inputs
  • 1× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+1 290.37 ₽ +39.0% chance of profit 70%
expensive: AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) · 7 174.07 ₽ · chance 35%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
  • 2× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
  • 7× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9
MAC-10 | Case Hardened
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0770
25 933.05 ₽
at 2 881.45
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077088f′ (normalized) 0.077088wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 26 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 106) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
Nova | Ocular
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0062
330.00 ₽
at 330.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006202f′ (normalized) 0.006202wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 241 · good ≈ 27
on the market with this float, usually ~27, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 000.00 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 12 of 55 · from 725.52 ₽ (float 0.0056) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 26 263.05 ₽ +3 833.97 (+14.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.005600, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
SSG 08 | Death Strike
Factory New
54 119.27 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New)net 47060.23 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 36 224.25 ₽ (you get 31 499.34)) · buy orders: 391 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 876.17 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 38 241.42 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 27 351.49 ₽ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 26 510.33 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 26 802.43 ₽ listings: 28
at a loss
UMP-45 | Fade
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.005600
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 678.44 ₽ (you get 17 111.68)) · buy orders: 757 sell on Market.CSGO: 17 328.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 19 000.00 · lots 19 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 15 338.80 ₽ listings: 44 on CS.Money: ~ 15 740.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 15 329.38 ₽ listings: 51
at a loss
AWP | Ice Coaled
Factory New
2 882.60 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New)net 2506.61 you get 0.070000The Genesis Collection sells 44 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 797.96 ₽ (you get 2 433.00)) · buy orders: 2433 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 397.52 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 628.86 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 2 218.55 ₽ listings: 97 on CS.Money: ~ 2 384.72 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 387.29 ₽ listings: 163
at a loss
worst
Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Factory New
2 767.29 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New)net 2406.34 you get 0.070000The Genesis Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 360.95 ₽ (you get 2 053.00)) · buy orders: 2560 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 043.84 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 241.06 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 1 925.59 ₽ listings: 113 on CS.Money: ~ 2 117.47 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 977.85 ₽ listings: 195
at a loss
MP7 | Smoking Kills
Factory New
2 860.34 ₽ 3.33%
Steam MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New)net 2487.25 you get 0.070000The Genesis Collection sells 19 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 733.89 ₽ (you get 2 377.29)) · buy orders: 2559 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 271.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 490.89 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 2 187.71 ₽ listings: 77 on CS.Money: ~ 2 666.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 257.09 ₽ listings: 121
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