Crafts · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1706068 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +2 008.98₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 13 761.68₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 15 770.65₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +14.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 36 111.94₴ · profit at most −20 341.29₴ (at most -56.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) × 9 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 13588.76 → 35738.44 ₴
Nova | Ocular (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 172.92 → 373.50 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −13 674 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −13 674 ₴: SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New), UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New), Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection
+2 008.97 ₴ +14.6% chance of profit 45%
expensive: SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New) · 24 659.27 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −13 674 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+1 250.60 ₴ +54.0% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+1 123.13 ₴ +43.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+894.99 ₴ +61.8% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1643
  • 7× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1643
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+801.29 ₴ +40.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 2 929.77 ₴ · chance 90%
rare inputs
  • 1× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+676.15 ₴ +39.0% chance of profit 70%
expensive: AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) · 3 759.17 ₴ · chance 35%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
  • 2× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
  • 7× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9
MAC-10 | Case Hardened
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0770
13 588.76 ₴
at 1 509.86
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077088f′ (normalized) 0.077088wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 26 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
Nova | Ocular
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0062
172.92 ₴
at 172.92
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006202f′ (normalized) 0.006202wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 241 · good ≈ 27
on the market with this float, usually ~27, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 523.99 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 13 761.68 ₴ +2 008.98 (+14.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.005600, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
SSG 08 | Death Strike
Factory New
28 358.17 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New)net 24659.27 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 981.29 ₴ (you get 16 505.46)) · buy orders: 391
at a loss
UMP-45 | Fade
Factory New
11 614.29 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)net 10099.38 you get 0.005600
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 311.38 ₴ (you get 8 966.42)) · buy orders: 757
at a loss
AWP | Ice Coaled
Factory New
1 510.46 ₴ 3.33%
Steam AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New)net 1313.45 you get 0.070000The Genesis Collection sells 44 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 466.11 ₴ (you get 1 274.88)) · buy orders: 2433
at a loss
worst
Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Factory New
1 450.04 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New)net 1260.91 you get 0.070000The Genesis Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 237.12 ₴ (you get 1 075.76)) · buy orders: 2560
at a loss
MP7 | Smoking Kills
Factory New
1 498.80 ₴ 3.33%
Steam MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New)net 1303.30 you get 0.070000The Genesis Collection sells 19 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 432.54 ₴ (you get 1 245.69)) · buy orders: 2559
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