Crafts · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1706137 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 911.52₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 26 667.40₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 30 578.92₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +14.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 69 790.12₽ · profit at most −39 211.20₽ (at most -56.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 25933.05 → 68203.92 ₽
AWP | PAW (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 734.35 → 1586.20 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −25 939 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −25 939 ₽: SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New), UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection
+3 911.52 ₽ +14.7% chance of profit 45%
expensive: SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New) · 47 060.23 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −25 939 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
  • 1× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 2 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+2 628.21 ₽ +155.1% chance of profit 67%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 6× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+2 510.39 ₽ +70.5% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 17%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 5× USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+2 498.21 ₽ +59.9% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2188
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+2 479.91 ₽ +65.4% chance of profit 73%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1648
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 6 only The Horizon Collection
+2 464.21 ₽ +51.1% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9
MAC-10 | Case Hardened
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0765
25 933.05 ₽
at 2 881.45
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076511f′ (normalized) 0.076511wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 26 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 106) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
AWP | PAW
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0056
734.35 ₽
at 734.35
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005697f′ (normalized) 0.011395wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 487 · good ≈ 16
on the market with this float, usually ~17, new ~0.2 per day, cheapest usually 2 680.49 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 259 · from 2 680.24 ₽ (float 0.0023) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 26 667.40 ₽ +3 911.52 (+14.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.005600, 0.049000, 0.070000, 0.056000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
SSG 08 | Death Strike
Factory New
54 119.27 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New)net 47060.23 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 36 224.25 ₽ (you get 31 499.34)) · buy orders: 391 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 876.17 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 38 241.42 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 27 351.49 ₽ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 26 510.33 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 26 802.43 ₽ listings: 28
at a loss
UMP-45 | Fade
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.005600
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 678.44 ₽ (you get 17 111.68)) · buy orders: 757 sell on Market.CSGO: 17 328.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 19 000.00 · lots 19 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 15 338.80 ₽ listings: 44 on CS.Money: ~ 15 740.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 15 329.38 ₽ listings: 51
at a loss
FAMAS | Eye of Athena
Factory New
2 902.32 ₽ 3.33%
Steam FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)net 2523.76 you get 0.049000The Horizon Collection sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 905.05 ₽ (you get 2 526.13)) · buy orders: 3860 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 342.91 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 568.99 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 2 221.97 ₽ listings: 80 on CS.Money: ~ 2 209.98 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 186.00 ₽ listings: 116
at a loss
M4A1-S | Nightmare
Factory New
20 602.47 ₽ 3.33%
Steam M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)net 17915.19 you get 0.070000The Horizon Collection sells 8 a week sell now to a buy order: 24 566.74 ₽ (you get 21 362.38)) · buy orders: 2139 sell on Market.CSGO: 21 190.75 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 23 235.48 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 18 649.49 ₽ listings: 58 on CS.Money: ~ 20 373.78 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 20 521.12 ₽ listings: 76
at a loss
worst
Sawed-Off | Devourer
Factory New
1 631.06 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New)net 1418.31 you get 0.056000The Horizon Collection sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 810.16 ₽ (you get 1 574.05)) · buy orders: 2047 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 561.09 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 711.73 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 1 481.03 ₽ listings: 45 on CS.Money: ~ 1 463.90 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 471.61 ₽ listings: 72
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