Crafts · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
$≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.0117 $. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Mirage Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1706205 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +353.35$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 240.16$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 593.51$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +147.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 607.76$ · profit at most −14.25$ (at most -2.3%) · chance of profit at most 90%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 11.55 → 24.96 $
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 21.60 → 46.65 $
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 207.01 → 536.15 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −235 $ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −235 $: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New), USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New), MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Mirage Collection
+353.35 $ +147.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −235 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Mirage Collection
+6.92 $ +54.1% chance of profit 28%
expensive: M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New) · 144.79 $ · chance 3.3%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 13 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
  • 3× Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0755
  • 6× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
Variant 3 only The Mirage Collection
+394.23 $ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 100%
profit on prices without salesat least −254 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+363.91 $ +151.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −240 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+357.53 $ +154.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −230 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0838
Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+355.63 $ +151.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −235 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
11.55 $
at 11.55
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003916f′ (normalized) 0.007833wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 66 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
UMP-45 | Blaze
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
21.60 $
at 21.60
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003916f′ (normalized) 0.048961wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 91 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 58.37 $ · little data: 0.0 d.
×8
MAC-10 | Amber Fade
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
207.01 $
at 25.88
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003916f′ (normalized) 0.009792wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 240.16 $ +353.35 (+147.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.006757, 0.013513, 0.005000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
MAG-7 | Bulldozer
Factory New
746.02 $ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)net 648.71 you get 0.070000The Mirage Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 203.17 $ (you get 176.67)) · buy orders: 202
at a loss
M4A4 | Red DDPAT
Factory New
166.51 $ 3.33%
Steam M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New)net 144.79 you get 0.006757 sells ≈10 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 162.44 $ (you get 141.25)) · buy orders: 3099
at a loss
worst
MAC-10 | Case Hardened
Factory New
78.04 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 67.86 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
USP-S | Orange Anolis
Factory New
89.03 $ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New)net 77.42 you get 0.005000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
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