Crafts · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1706260 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +2 059.03₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 4 041.13₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 100.16₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +51.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 48%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 9 712.98₴ · profit at most −3 612.82₴ (at most -37.2%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Factory New) × 1 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 518.63 → 1120.24 ₴
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested) × 4 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 1027.01 → 2428.87 ₴
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) × 5 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 2495.49 → 6163.87 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 079 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 079 ₴: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New), USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New), MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection
+2 059.03 ₴ +51.0% chance of profit 48%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 10 934.16 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 079 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0071
  • 4× Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1735
  • 5× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0071
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Overpass Collection
+310.57 ₴ +54.1% chance of profit 28%
expensive: M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New) · 6 498.76 ₴ · chance 3.3%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 13 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
  • 3× Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0755
  • 6× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
Variant 3 The Mirage Collection instead of The Overpass Collection
+15 859.97 ₴ +147.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 563 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 4 only The Overpass Collection
+3 894.23 ₴ +78.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 10 934.16 ₴ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −4 991 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 10× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+3 714.23 ₴ +80.6% chance of profit 93%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 10 934.16 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −4 582 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
  • 1× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+3 690.18 ₴ +78.3% chance of profit 93%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 10 934.16 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −4 715 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 1× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0242

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0071
518.63 ₴
at 518.63
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007174f′ (normalized) 0.014348wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 66 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×4
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1735
1 027.01 ₴
at 256.75
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.173572f′ (normalized) 0.153476wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 71 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 673.91 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
×5
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0071
2 495.49 ₴
at 499.10
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007174f′ (normalized) 0.014348wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 17 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 4 041.13 ₴ +2 059.03 (+51.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.111800, 0.070000, 0.035000, 0.070000, 0.025900 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 48%
  • Losing outcome 52%
at a loss
worst
AWP | Pink DDPAT
Minimal Wear
1 905.93 ₴ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)net 1657.34 you get 0.111800The Overpass Collection sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 900.03 ₴ (you get 1 652.20)) · buy orders: 759 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 600.91 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 755.38 · lots 28 on CSFloat: from 1 508.56 ₴ listings: 122 on CS.Money: ~ 1 658.03 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 618.08 ₴ listings: 98
in profit
best
USP-S | Road Rash
Factory New
12 574.29 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New)net 10934.16 you get 0.070000The Overpass Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 6 732.22 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 7 381.82 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 6 081.38 ₴ listings: 69 on CS.Money: ~ 6 558.95 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 6 132.55 ₴ listings: 71
in profit
M4A4 | Red DDPAT
Factory New
7 473.57 ₴ 3.33%
Steam M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New)net 6498.76 you get 0.035000 sells ≈10 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 7 290.97 ₴ (you get 6 339.97)) · buy orders: 3099 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 135.40 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 7 823.90 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 5 801.75 ₴ listings: 39 on CS.Money: ~ 6 452.12 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 6 295.92 ₴ listings: 60
at a loss
MAC-10 | Case Hardened
Factory New
3 502.90 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 3046.00 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 2 080.32 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 2 281.06 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 1 974.91 ₴ listings: 79 on CS.Money: ~ 2 077.25 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 2 001.39 ₴ listings: 67
at a loss
USP-S | Orange Anolis
Factory New
3 995.96 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New)net 3474.75 you get 0.025900
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 3 443.53 ₴ listings: 33 on CS.Money: ~ 3 308.87 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 3 233.47 ₴ listings: 80
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