The 2021 Dust 2 Collection
+ The Overpass Collection
Restricted → Classified
About the craftCraft 1706261 · ways to build: 5The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+50 800.14₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».152 581.19₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.203 381.33₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+33.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.85%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 345 659.30₸
· profit at most −142 277.97₸
(at most -41.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) × 15% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.1615197.83 → 32827.32 ₸
Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New) × 25% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.2134765.69 → 76832.18 ₸
Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 45% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.3738894.05 → 91984.42 ₸
AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) × 35% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.2663723.62 → 144015.37 ₸
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −152 581 ₸Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −152 581 ₸: M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New), SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New), UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
profit on prices without salesat least −152 581 ₸rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)buy0.0700–0.0740
profit on prices without salesat least −155 151 ₸rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
profit on prices without salesat least −129 541 ₸rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
6× MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0037
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
5% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
MAC-10 | Case Hardened
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0740
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
15 197.83 ₸
at 15 197.83
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074066f′ (normalized) 0.074066wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 26 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0035
(3% of this wear's listings)
34 765.69 ₸
at 17 382.85
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003557f′ (normalized) 0.009615wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 77 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 88 122.69 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
×4
Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1616
(0% of this wear's listings)
38 894.05 ₸
at 9 723.51
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161690f′ (normalized) 0.137419wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×3
AWP | Pink DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0740
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
63 723.62 ₸
at 21 241.21
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074066f′ (normalized) 0.019008wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 38 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs152 581.19 ₸
+50 800.14
(+33.3%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.005600«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −158 625 ₸
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0054
(4% of this wear's listings)
34 765.69 ₸
at 17 382.85
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005434f′ (normalized) 0.014686wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 77 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~4,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 45 887.02 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
×4
Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1678
(3% of this wear's listings)
38 894.05 ₸
at 9 723.51
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.167855f′ (normalized) 0.145750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 23 678.65 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
×4
AWP | Pink DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0762
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
84 964.82 ₸
at 21 241.21
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076210f′ (normalized) 0.021906wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 38 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs158 624.56 ₸
+48 820.46
(+30.8%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.005600«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −162 483 ₸
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0051
(4% of this wear's listings)
17 382.85 ₸
at 17 382.85
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005178f′ (normalized) 0.013994wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 77 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~4,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 45 887.02 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
×4
Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1670
(3% of this wear's listings)
38 894.05 ₸
at 9 723.51
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.167013f′ (normalized) 0.144612wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 23 678.65 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
×5
AWP | Pink DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0759
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
106 206.03 ₸
at 21 241.21
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075917f′ (normalized) 0.021510wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 38 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs162 482.92 ₸
+49 025.85
(+30.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.005600«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −150 874 ₸
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×7
MAC-10 | Case Hardened
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0756
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
106 384.83 ₸
at 15 197.83
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075659f′ (normalized) 0.075659wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 26 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0049
(3% of this wear's listings)
34 765.69 ₸
at 17 382.85
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004952f′ (normalized) 0.013384wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 77 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 88 122.69 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
×1
Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1662
(3% of this wear's listings)
9 723.51 ₸
at 9 723.51
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.166271f′ (normalized) 0.143610wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 23 678.65 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs150 874.03 ₸
+28 124.94
(+18.6%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.056000, 0.005600, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −147 585 ₸
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×5
MAC-10 | Case Hardened
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0753
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
75 989.16 ₸
at 15 197.83
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075374f′ (normalized) 0.075374wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 26 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0047
(3% of this wear's listings)
52 148.54 ₸
at 17 382.85
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004702f′ (normalized) 0.012709wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 77 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 88 122.69 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
×2
Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1654
(3% of this wear's listings)
19 447.02 ₸
at 9 723.51
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165450f′ (normalized) 0.142500wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 23 678.65 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs147 584.72 ₸
+35 478.00
(+24.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.056000, 0.005600, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
sell now to a buy order: 161 893.19 ₸
(you get 140 776.67)) · buy orders: 504
in profit
best
SSG 08 | Death Strike
Factory New
285 445.04 ₸15.00%
price without deals
SteamSSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New)net 248213.05you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 191 060.09 ₸
(you get 166 139.17)) · buy orders: 391
at a loss
worst
UMP-45 | Fade
Factory New
116 906.09 ₸15.00%
price without dealspricier variants exist
SteamUMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)net 101657.46you get 0.005600
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 103 791.37 ₸
(you get 90 253.33)) · buy orders: 757
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+4 201.51 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+45 069.96 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
7 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1738973
· The Overpass Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 51 491.27₸
· invest 76 700.89₸
profit on prices without salesat least −69 825 ₸rare inputs
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested), MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear), Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New); Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162013 instead of 0.161690; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074178 instead of 0.074066
Craft 1738850
· The Overpass Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 49 244.96₸
· invest 109 337.10₸
profit on prices without salesat least −101 656 ₸rare inputs
FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested), USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear), Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New); Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162322 instead of 0.161690; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074286 instead of 0.074066
Craft 1731998
· The Gamma Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 49 232.66₸
· invest 106 959.89₸
profit on prices without salesat least −101 668 ₸rare inputs
Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear), P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear), Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New); Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162591 instead of 0.161690; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074379 instead of 0.074066
Craft 1734858
· The Horizon Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 49 226.14₸
· invest 95 488.46₸
profit on prices without salesat least −80 117 ₸rare inputs
MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear), AWP | PAW (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear), Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New); Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161501 instead of 0.161690; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074000 instead of 0.074066
Craft 1738881
· The Overpass Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 49 010.19₸
· invest 73 521.13₸
profit on prices without salesat least −58 776 ₸rare inputs
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear), Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New); Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161632 instead of 0.161690; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074046 instead of 0.074066
Craft 1719674
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 41 541.35₸
· invest 116 293.95₸
profit on prices without salesat least −115 702 ₸rare inputs
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear), Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New); Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163054 instead of 0.161690; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074540 instead of 0.074066
Craft 1719675
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 40 909.21₸
· invest 136 815.62₸
profit on prices without salesat least −136 816 ₸rare inputs
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear), Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New); Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162752 instead of 0.161690; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074435 instead of 0.074066
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
