The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +2 028.27₴

Invest 13 660.51₴

Average return 15 688.78₴

ROI +14.8%

Chance of profit 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 35 893.42₴ · profit at most −20 204.64₴ (at most -56.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 13588.76 → 35738.44 ₴

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 71.75 → 154.98 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −13 613 ₴

+ a third collection

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9

MAC-10 | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

13 588.76 ₴

at 1 509.86

Steam

×1

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

71.75 ₴

at 71.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 660.51 ₴ +2 028.27 (+14.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −8 921 ₴

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

MAC-10 | Case Hardened

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1727

2 784.42 ₴

at 1 392.21

Steam

×4

MAC-10 | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

6 039.45 ₴

at 1 509.86

Steam

×4

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

287.00 ₴

at 71.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 110.87 ₴ +1 506.26 (+16.5%)

profit on prices without sales at least −7 318 ₴

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

MAC-10 | Case Hardened

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1682

4 176.63 ₴

at 1 392.21

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

3 019.72 ₴

at 1 509.86

Steam

×5

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

358.75 ₴

at 71.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 555.11 ₴ +1 371.47 (+18.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −4 213 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

1 257.59 ₴

at 1 257.59

souvenirSteam

×2

MAC-10 | Case Hardened

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

2 784.42 ₴

at 1 392.21

Steam

×7

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

502.25 ₴

at 71.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 544.26 ₴ +1 001.22 (+22.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

SSG 08 | Death Strike

Factory New

28 358.17 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Fade

Factory New

11 614.29 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

736.14 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Visions

Factory New

403.98 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Factory New

494.58 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The 2021 Mirage Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +473.96 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 560.35 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1705962 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 2 054.91₴ · invest 13 658.91₴
profit on prices without salesat least −13 586 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

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profit on prices without salesat least −13 590 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

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profit on prices without salesat least −13 592 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

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profit on prices without salesat least −13 650 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

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profit on prices without salesat least −13 598 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

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profit on prices without salesat least −14 621 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

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profit on prices without salesat least −13 689 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

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Craft 1706500 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 2 018.28₴ · invest 13 877.84₴
profit on prices without salesat least −13 839 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

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profit on prices without salesat least −13 674 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

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profit on prices without salesat least −13 668 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

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profit on prices without salesat least −14 555 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

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profit on prices without salesat least −13 712 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

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profit on prices without salesat least −13 911 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

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profit on prices without salesat least −13 928 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

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How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build