Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1706618 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +8 159.33₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 23 808.27₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 967.60₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +34.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 57 743.23₽ · profit at most −25 775.62₽ (at most -44.6%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 8192.00 → 19374.08 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 14961.30 → 36954.41 ₽
Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 654.97 → 1414.74 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 808 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 808 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), M4A4 | Falak (Factory New), Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection
+8 159.33 ₽ +34.3% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −23 808 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1645
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 792.70 ₽ +59.2% chance of profit 40%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
Variant 3 The Falchion Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 242.46 ₽ +42.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Falak (Minimal Wear) · 5 782.40 ₽ · chance 45%
  • 9× P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
  • 1× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 188.73 ₽ +40.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Falak (Minimal Wear) · 5 782.40 ₽ · chance 45%
  • 9× P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1645
  • 1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2207
Variant 5 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 180.65 ₽ +39.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Falak (Minimal Wear) · 5 782.40 ₽ · chance 45%
  • 9× P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
  • 1× XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 152.86 ₽ +38.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Falak (Minimal Wear) · 5 782.40 ₽ · chance 45%
  • 9× P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1658
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1645
8 192.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164546f′ (normalized) 0.141278wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0044
14 961.30 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004427f′ (normalized) 0.011965wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0750
654.97 ₽
at 654.97
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075059f′ (normalized) 0.075059wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 117 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 23 808.27 ₽ +8 159.33 (+34.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.038500, 0.070000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.038500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
worst
Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma
Factory New
6 843.43 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Factory New)net 5950.81 you get 0.070000The Arabesque Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 471.83 ₽ (you get 5 627.67)) · buy orders: 842 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 404.57 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 926.07 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 4 981.02 ₽ listings: 61 on CS.Money: ~ 5 494.11 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 080.38 ₽ listings: 158
at a loss
M4A4 | Falak
Factory New
15 515.46 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | Falak (Factory New)net 13491.70 you get 0.070000The Arabesque Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 364.40 ₽ (you get 11 621.21)) · buy orders: 644 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 852.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 11 900.00 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 10 963.38 ₽ listings: 33 on CS.Money: ~ 12 289.37 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 11 198.09 ₽ listings: 124
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