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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Breakout Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +7 996.54₽

Invest 23 409.30₽

Average return 31 405.84₽

ROI +34.2%

Chance of profit 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 56 881.45₽ · profit at most −25 475.61₽ (at most -44.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 8192.00 → 19374.08 ₽

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 14961.30 → 36954.41 ₽

CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 256.00 → 552.96 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 217 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Breakout Collection

+7 996.54 ₽ +34.2% chance of profit 45%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −23 217 ₽

4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1645
5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
1× CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

+3 008.42 ₽ +127.0% chance of profit 67%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%

sells slowly

6× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
1× G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754

Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

+2 491.64 ₽ +73.9% chance of profit 83%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 25%

sells slowly

5× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
3× Nova | Smart Gun (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
2× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

+2 063.28 ₽ +83.0% chance of profit 77%

expensive: Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) · 6 555.90 ₽ · chance 23%

rare inputs

7× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
2× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
1× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744

Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

+1 986.49 ₽ +78.2% chance of profit 77%

expensive: AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) · 7 174.07 ₽ · chance 15%

sells slowly

7× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
1× XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
2× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636

Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

+1 931.36 ₽ +75.8% chance of profit 50%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 17%

sells slowly

5× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
5× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

8 192.00 ₽

at 2 048.00

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

14 961.30 ₽

at 2 992.26

souvenirSteam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

256.00 ₽

at 256.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23 409.30 ₽ +7 996.54 (+34.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −2 507 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

1 782.06 ₽

at 1 782.06

souvenirSteam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

512.00 ₽

at 256.00

Steam

×7

Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

1 939.42 ₽

at 277.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 233.48 ₽ +2 903.71 (+68.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −4 512 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

1 782.06 ₽

at 1 782.06

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

2 048.00 ₽

at 2 048.00

souvenirSteam

×8

Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

2 216.48 ₽

at 277.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 046.54 ₽ +4 124.23 (+68.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −20 310 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

8 192.00 ₽

at 2 048.00

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

11 969.04 ₽

at 2 992.26

souvenirSteam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

256.00 ₽

at 256.00

Steam

×1

Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

277.06 ₽

at 277.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20 694.10 ₽ +7 678.16 (+37.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −17 403 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

8 192.00 ₽

at 2 048.00

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

8 976.78 ₽

at 2 992.26

souvenirSteam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

256.00 ₽

at 256.00

Steam

×2

Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

554.12 ₽

at 277.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17 978.90 ₽ +7 359.77 (+40.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

2 252.12 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Factory New

7 539.29 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Factory New

4 366.04 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week -446.07 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6 065.74 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Breakout Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 36 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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profit on prices without salesat least −23 252 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162994 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003954 instead of 0.004427
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profit on prices without salesat least −23 409 ₽ rare inputs

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Craft 1706987 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 8 098.22₽ · invest 23 625.83₽
profit on prices without salesat least −22 897 ₽ rare inputs

MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162660 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003853 instead of 0.004427
Craft 1707315 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 8 089.59₽ · invest 23 668.30₽
profit on prices without salesat least −22 906 ₽ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1707098 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 8 033.42₽ · invest 23 513.50₽
profit on prices without salesat least −22 962 ₽ rare inputs

AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163211 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004020 instead of 0.004427
Craft 1707248 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 8 014.26₽ · invest 23 553.38₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 507 ₽ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1706895 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 7 997.18₽ · invest 23 292.30₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 183 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162039 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003664 instead of 0.004427
Craft 1707068 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 7 994.29₽ · invest 23 788.97₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 646 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162760 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003883 instead of 0.004427
Craft 1706914 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 7 989.44₽ · invest 23 340.47₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 006 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1706815 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 7 968.44₽ · invest 23 320.77₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 092 ₽ rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1706925 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 7 960.51₽ · invest 23 281.64₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 115 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1706860 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 7 945.62₽ · invest 23 251.81₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 116 ₽ rare inputs

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166892 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.005141 instead of 0.004427
Craft 1706724 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 7 935.49₽ · invest 23 255.47₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 205 ₽ rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162039 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003664 instead of 0.004427
Craft 1707272 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 7 933.09₽ · invest 23 297.20₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 138 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161627 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003538 instead of 0.004427
Craft 1706904 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 7 918.81₽ · invest 23 322.86₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 077 ₽ rare inputs

SG 553 | Triarch (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1706872 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 7 910.74₽ · invest 23 244.66₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 085 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164151 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004306 instead of 0.004427
Craft 1706782 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 7 904.10₽ · invest 23 229.59₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 091 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162660 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003853 instead of 0.004427
Craft 1707262 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 7 903.95₽ · invest 23 239.98₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 194 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163211 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004020 instead of 0.004427
Craft 1704231 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 7 901.99₽ · invest 23 431.68₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 364 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1707076 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 7 895.93₽ · invest 23 726.12₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 726 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171297 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.006481 instead of 0.004427
Craft 1706754 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 7 893.79₽ · invest 23 289.72₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 213 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165398 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004686 instead of 0.004427
Craft 1706829 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 7 889.37₽ · invest 23 253.77₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 106 ₽ rare inputs

USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162170 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003703 instead of 0.004427
Craft 1707370 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 7 884.96₽ · invest 23 596.62₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 522 ₽ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1707204 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 7 884.53₽ · invest 23 369.41₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 183 ₽ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1707130 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 7 883.96₽ · invest 23 268.56₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 112 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1707195 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 7 881.84₽ · invest 23 224.60₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 114 ₽ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1707022 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 7 866.44₽ · invest 23 232.48₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 129 ₽ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1707355 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 841.49₽ · invest 23 410.41₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 410 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1707182 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 7 840.99₽ · invest 23 244.91₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 154 ₽ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1707173 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 7 839.02₽ · invest 23 715.58₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 156 ₽ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171410 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.006516 instead of 0.004427
Craft 1706766 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 7 830.33₽ · invest 23 333.94₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 241 ₽ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1706557 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 7 745.94₽ · invest 23 601.80₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 250 ₽ rare inputs

AK-47 | Breakthrough (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162039 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003664 instead of 0.004427
Craft 1707375 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 7 630.90₽ · invest 23 818.30₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 634 ₽ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166428 instead of 0.164546; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004999 instead of 0.004427

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Breakout Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build