Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The CS20 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1706724 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +4 158.15₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 12 185.72₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 16 343.87₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +34.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 29 631.42₴ · profit at most −13 287.55₴ (at most -44.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 4292.56 → 10151.90 ₴
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 7839.63 → 19363.89 ₴
M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 53.54 → 115.64 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −12 159 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −12 159 ₴: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), MP9 | Hydra (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The CS20 Collection
+4 158.15 ₴ +34.1% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 25 992.70 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −12 159 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 1× M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 269.41 ₴ +55.9% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Aztec (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 141.94 ₴ +44.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Aztec (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+900.10 ₴ +62.8% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 7× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+820.10 ₴ +42.7% chance of profit 93%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 2 929.77 ₴ · chance 90%
rare inputs
  • 1× M249 | Aztec (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+674.81 ₴ +67.2% chance of profit 63%
expensive: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 3 557.00 ₴ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 1× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1620
4 292.56 ₴
at 1 073.14
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162039f′ (normalized) 0.137891wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0036
7 839.63 ₴
at 1 567.93
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003664f′ (normalized) 0.009903wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
M249 | Aztec
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0741
53.54 ₴
at 53.54
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074187f′ (normalized) 0.098916wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 55 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 12 185.72 ₴ +4 158.15 (+34.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.038500, 0.028000, 0.070000, 0.039900 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
29 891.61 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 25992.70 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 537.46 ₴ (you get 16 989.10)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 18 157.27 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 19 909.29 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 15 484.64 ₴ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 17 674.55 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 16 289.42 ₴ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
11 614.29 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 10099.38 you get 0.038500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 902.01 ₴ (you get 8 610.44)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 473.02 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 9 290.59 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 7 544.16 ₴ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 8 846.70 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 8 422.55 ₴ listings: 33
at a loss
worst
AUG | Death by Puppy
Factory New
434.12 ₴ 3.33%
Steam AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New)net 377.50 you get 0.028000The CS20 Collection sells 41 a week sell now to a buy order: 431.92 ₴ (you get 375.58)) · buy orders: 2568 sell on Market.CSGO: 353.54 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 387.66 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 314.64 ₴ listings: 100 on CS.Money: ~ 346.96 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 347.40 ₴ listings: 173
at a loss
MP9 | Hydra
Factory New
2 613.22 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam MP9 | Hydra (Factory New)net 2272.36 you get 0.070000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 255.29 ₴ (you get 1 961.12)) · buy orders: 3314 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 902.37 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 2 085.93 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 1 797.17 ₴ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 1 965.03 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 854.62 ₴ listings: 96
at a loss
P90 | Nostalgia
Factory New
486.59 ₴ 3.33%
Steam P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New)net 423.12 you get 0.039900The CS20 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 485.53 ₴ (you get 422.20)) · buy orders: 5252 sell on Market.CSGO: 379.43 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 416.05 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 373.44 ₴ listings: 73 on CS.Money: ~ 387.80 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 412.93 ₴ listings: 77
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