Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1706772 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +9 584.85₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 21 765.60₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 350.45₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +44.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 52 212.17₽ · profit at most −20 861.72₽ (at most -40.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 12288.00 → 30842.88 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 8976.78 → 20287.52 ₽
Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 500.82 → 1081.77 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 573 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 573 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma Collection
+9 584.85 ₽ +44.0% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −21 573 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1629
  • 3× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 324.15 ₽ +50.7% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 080.89 ₽ +40.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 826.35 ₽ +63.0% chance of profit 37%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 466.67 ₽ +37.4% chance of profit 97%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 90%
rare inputs
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 233.41 ₽ +57.9% chance of profit 37%
expensive: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 6 788.25 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 7× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
  • 2× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1629
12 288.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162988f′ (normalized) 0.139173wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
8 976.78 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003953f′ (normalized) 0.010683wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
Sawed-Off | Serenity
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
500.82 ₽
at 500.82
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003953f′ (normalized) 0.007906wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 83 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 21 765.60 ₽ +9 584.85 (+44.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.070000, 0.048125, 0.065625, 0.065625, 0.052500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.048125
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445
at a loss
AK-47 | Cartel
Factory New
4 798.22 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New)net 4172.37 you get 0.065625The Chroma Collection sells 15 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 706.61 ₽ (you get 4 092.70)) · buy orders: 3319
at a loss
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)
Factory New
5 615.30 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)net 4882.87 you get 0.065625The Chroma Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 602.60 ₽ (you get 4 871.82)) · buy orders: 1956
at a loss
worst
P250 | Muertos
Factory New
1 833.22 ₽ 3.33%
Steam P250 | Muertos (Factory New)net 1594.10 you get 0.052500The Chroma Collection sells 24 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 840.76 ₽ (you get 1 600.66)) · buy orders: 3021
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