Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Clutch Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1706781 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +5 071.25₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 11 212.77₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 16 284.02₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +45.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 26 943.55₴ · profit at most −10 659.53₴ (at most -39.6%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 6438.84 → 16161.48 ₴
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 4703.78 → 10630.54 ₴
Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 70.15 → 151.53 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −11 170 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −11 170 ₴: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Clutch Collection
+5 071.25 ₴ +45.2% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 25 992.70 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −11 170 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 3× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 323.01 ₴ +207.2% chance of profit 60%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 13%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 169.06 ₴ +46.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+921.70 ₴ +65.4% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+858.99 ₴ +72.3% chance of profit 73%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 2 929.77 ₴ · chance 60%
rare inputs
  • 4× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+708.28 ₴ +46.2% chance of profit 70%
expensive: AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) · 3 759.17 ₴ · chance 35%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0083
  • 7× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0794

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1630
6 438.84 ₴
at 1 073.14
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163053f′ (normalized) 0.139260wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
4 703.78 ₴
at 1 567.93
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003972f′ (normalized) 0.010736wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
Negev | Lionfish
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
70.15 ₴
at 70.15
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003972f′ (normalized) 0.007223wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 163 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 901.61 ₴ · little data: 2.9 d.
Set · 10 pcs 11 212.77 ₴ +5 071.25 (+45.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.070000, 0.048125, 0.055125, 0.056000, 0.087500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
29 891.61 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 25992.70 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 537.46 ₴ (you get 16 989.10)) · buy orders: 485
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
11 614.29 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 10099.38 you get 0.048125
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 902.01 ₴ (you get 8 610.44)) · buy orders: 445
at a loss
AUG | Stymphalian
Factory New
505.09 ₴ 3.33%
Steam AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New)net 439.21 you get 0.055125The Clutch Collection sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 411.87 ₴ (you get 358.15)) · buy orders: 3816
at a loss
AWP | Mortis
Factory New
602.59 ₴ 3.33%
Steam AWP | Mortis (Factory New)net 523.99 you get 0.056000The Clutch Collection sells 104 a week sell now to a buy order: 559.69 ₴ (you get 486.69)) · buy orders: 10821
at a loss
worst
USP-S | Cortex
Minimal Wear
361.35 ₴ 3.33%
Steam USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear)net 314.21 you get 0.087500The Clutch Collection sells 590 a week no buy orders
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