Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1706829 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +7 889.37₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 23 253.77₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 143.14₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +33.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 56 545.51₽ · profit at most −25 402.36₽ (at most -44.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 8192.00 → 19374.08 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 14961.30 → 36954.41 ₽
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 100.47 → 217.02 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 106 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 106 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+7 889.37 ₽ +33.9% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −23 106 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1621
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 1× USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 724.86 ₽ +253.4% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly
  • 6× XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 264.40 ₽ +47.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 772.65 ₽ +81.6% chance of profit 60%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 60%
  • 4× XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 767.14 ₽ +66.2% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 465.68 ₽ +90.1% chance of profit 40%
expensive: AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) · 7 174.07 ₽ · chance 20%
sells slowly
  • 6× XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 3× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1621
8 192.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162170f′ (normalized) 0.138067wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0037
14 961.30 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003703f′ (normalized) 0.010010wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
USP-S | Ticket to Hell
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0742
100.47 ₽
at 100.47
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074233f′ (normalized) 0.097675wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 1 551 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 23 253.77 ₽ +7 889.37 (+33.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.038500, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.038500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
Dual Berettas | Melondrama
Factory New
1 712.49 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New)net 1489.12 you get 0.070000The Dreams & Nightmares Collection sells 93 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 1 262.84 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 384.70 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 1 171.80 ₽ listings: 172 on CS.Money: ~ 1 251.47 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 199.21 ₽ listings: 158
at a loss
worst
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement
Factory New
1 680.69 ₽ 3.33%
Steam FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New)net 1461.47 you get 0.070000The Dreams & Nightmares Collection sells ≈84 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 1 619.87 ₽ (you get 1 408.58)) · buy orders: 5387 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 194.09 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 309.32 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 1 173.52 ₽ listings: 194 on CS.Money: ~ 1 169.23 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 160.67 ₽ listings: 196
at a loss
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition
Factory New
1 701.30 ₽ 3.33%
Steam MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New)net 1479.39 you get 0.070000The Dreams & Nightmares Collection sells 82 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 665.77 ₽ (you get 1 448.49)) · buy orders: 5775 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 274.82 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 397.83 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 1 167.52 ₽ listings: 223 on CS.Money: ~ 1 225.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 237.76 ₽ listings: 145
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