Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gallery Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1706895 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +7 997.18₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 23 292.30₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 289.48₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +34.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 56 628.73₽ · profit at most −25 339.25₽ (at most -44.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 8192.00 → 19374.08 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 14961.30 → 36954.41 ₽
P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 139.00 → 300.24 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 183 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 183 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gallery Collection
+7 997.18 ₽ +34.3% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −23 183 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 1× P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 560.57 ₽ +120.9% chance of profit 47%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1655
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 237.01 ₽ +45.5% chance of profit 93%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 785.38 ₽ +62.6% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
  • 1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 666.77 ₽ +58.2% chance of profit 73%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 60%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 5× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 369.55 ₽ +40.6% chance of profit 80%
expensive: AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) · 7 174.07 ₽ · chance 35%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0092
  • 7× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0805

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1620
8 192.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162039f′ (normalized) 0.137891wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 158 · from 3 411.76 ₽ (float 0.1509) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0036
14 961.30 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003664f′ (normalized) 0.009903wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 87 · from 4 554.44 ₽ (float 0.0012) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
P90 | Randy Rush
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0741
139.00 ₽
at 139.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074187f′ (normalized) 0.098916wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 95 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 141 · from 513.95 ₽ (float 0.0711) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 23 292.30 ₽ +7 997.18 (+34.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.038500, 0.063000, 0.056000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.038500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
AK-47 | The Outsiders
Factory New
6 364.49 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New)net 5534.34 you get 0.063000The Gallery Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 641.81 ₽ (you get 4 905.92)) · buy orders: 4170 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 497.38 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 931.34 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 4 294.04 ₽ listings: 81 on CS.Money: ~ 4 438.80 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 298.32 ₽ listings: 322
at a loss
worst
P250 | Epicenter
Factory New
1 872.63 ₽ 3.33%
Steam P250 | Epicenter (Factory New)net 1628.37 you get 0.056000The Gallery Collection sells 16 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 873.27 ₽ (you get 1 628.93)) · buy orders: 3850 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 583.49 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 736.29 · lots 30 on CSFloat: from 1 532.42 ₽ listings: 108 on CS.Money: ~ 1 494.73 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 505.01 ₽ listings: 125
at a loss
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir
Factory New
1 906.04 ₽ 3.33%
Steam UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)net 1657.43 you get 0.070000The Gallery Collection sells 16 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 126.68 ₽ (you get 1 849.28)) · buy orders: 4053 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 785.64 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 957.94 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 1 755.13 ₽ listings: 81 on CS.Money: ~ 1 722.58 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 753.42 ₽ listings: 90
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