Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1706914 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +7 989.44₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 23 340.47₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 329.91₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +34.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 56 732.78₽ · profit at most −25 402.87₽ (at most -44.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 8192.00 → 19374.08 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 14961.30 → 36954.41 ₽
Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 187.17 → 404.29 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 006 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 006 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma Collection
+7 989.44 ₽ +34.2% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −23 006 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1645
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 597.18 ₽ +111.8% chance of profit 47%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly цена ненадёжна Первые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 243.12 ₽ +45.3% chance of profit 93%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 726.32 ₽ +58.0% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 9× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 691.17 ₽ +56.3% chance of profit 73%
expensive: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 6 788.25 ₽ · chance 13%
rare inputs
  • 4× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 1× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 5× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 518.73 ₽ +45.4% chance of profit 80%
expensive: AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) · 7 174.07 ₽ · chance 35%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 2× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 7× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1645
8 192.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164546f′ (normalized) 0.141278wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0044
14 961.30 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004427f′ (normalized) 0.011965wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
Sawed-Off | Limelight
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0750
187.17 ₽
at 187.17
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075059f′ (normalized) 0.075059wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 55 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 23 340.47 ₽ +7 989.44 (+34.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.038500, 0.044100, 0.070000, 0.031500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.038500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
P2000 | Imperial Dragon
Factory New
2 408.03 ₽ 3.33%
Steam P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)net 2093.94 you get 0.044100The Gamma Collection sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 250.03 ₽ (you get 1 956.54)) · buy orders: 2727 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 866.85 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 046.99 · lots 56 on CSFloat: from 1 860.49 ₽ listings: 116 on CS.Money: ~ 1 944.44 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 993.26 ₽ listings: 167
at a loss
M4A4 | Desolate Space
Factory New
7 806.49 ₽ 3.33%
Steam M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)net 6788.25 you get 0.070000The Gamma Collection sells 37 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 309.72 ₽ (you get 7 225.84)) · buy orders: 2240 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 522.71 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 152.10 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 5 440.15 ₽ listings: 137 on CS.Money: ~ 6 100.57 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 919.83 ₽ listings: 197
at a loss
worst
SCAR-20 | Bloodsport
Factory New
1 323.52 ₽ 3.33%
Steam SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New)net 1150.89 you get 0.031500The Gamma Collection sells 24 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 291.88 ₽ (you get 1 123.37)) · buy orders: 2482 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 080.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 185.07 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 1 025.33 ₽ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 1 063.02 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 097.28 ₽ listings: 139
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