Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1706987 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +8 098.22₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 23 625.83₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 724.05₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +34.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 57 349.16₽ · profit at most −25 625.10₽ (at most -44.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 8192.00 → 19374.08 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 14961.30 → 36954.41 ₽
MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 472.53 → 1020.66 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −22 897 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −22 897 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Horizon Collection
+8 098.22 ₽ +34.3% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −22 897 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
Variant 2 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 628.21 ₽ +155.1% chance of profit 67%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 6× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 510.39 ₽ +70.5% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 17%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 5× USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 498.21 ₽ +59.9% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2188
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 479.91 ₽ +65.4% chance of profit 73%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1648
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 6 only The Horizon Collection
+2 464.21 ₽ +51.1% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1626
8 192.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162660f′ (normalized) 0.138730wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
14 961.30 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003853f′ (normalized) 0.010414wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
MP7 | Powercore
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0744
472.53 ₽
at 472.53
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074403f′ (normalized) 0.093004wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 78 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 949.99 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 23 625.83 ₽ +8 098.22 (+34.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.038500, 0.049000, 0.070000, 0.056000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.038500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445
at a loss
FAMAS | Eye of Athena
Factory New
2 902.32 ₽ 3.33%
Steam FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)net 2523.76 you get 0.049000The Horizon Collection sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 905.05 ₽ (you get 2 526.13)) · buy orders: 3860
at a loss
M4A1-S | Nightmare
Factory New
20 602.47 ₽ 3.33%
Steam M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)net 17915.19 you get 0.070000The Horizon Collection sells 8 a week sell now to a buy order: 24 566.74 ₽ (you get 21 362.38)) · buy orders: 2139
at a loss
worst
Sawed-Off | Devourer
Factory New
1 631.06 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New)net 1418.31 you get 0.056000The Horizon Collection sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 810.16 ₽ (you get 1 574.05)) · buy orders: 2047
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