Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Nuke Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade About the craft Craft 1707057 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 190.68₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 902.50₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 093.18₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +131.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 229.17₴ · profit at most −136.00₴ (at most -6.1%) · chance of profit at most 50%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 34.35 → 84.84 ₴
Souvenir MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear) × 5 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 868.15 → 2144.34 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −865 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −865 ₴: P90 | Fallout Warning (Factory New), XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New), UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Nuke Collection
+1 190.68 ₴ +131.9% chance of profit 50%
expensive: P90 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) · 5 012.12 ₴ · chance 17%
profit on prices without salesat least −865 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 5× Souvenir MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
Variant 2 The Inferno Collection instead of The Nuke Collection
+556.47 ₴ +60.4% chance of profit 50%
expensive: M4A4 | Tornado (Factory New) · 4 834.99 ₴ · chance 25%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 5× Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Nuke Collection
+428.80 ₴ +353.6% chance of profit 50%
expensive: Glock-18 | Night (Factory New) · 1 756.90 ₴ · chance 12%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 10 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 5× Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
Variant 4 The Office Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+10 365.23 ₴ +92.1% chance of profit 70%
expensive: Galil AR | Winter Forest (Factory New) · 49 168.70 ₴ · chance 23%
profit on prices without salesat least −11 251 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× Souvenir MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
  • 7× FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 5 The Office Collection instead of The Nuke Collection
+10 206.26 ₴ +232.5% chance of profit 50%
expensive: Galil AR | Winter Forest (Factory New) · 49 168.70 ₴ · chance 17%
profit on prices without salesat least −4 353 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 5× FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
Variant 6 The Alpha Collection instead of The Nuke Collection
+2 073.77 ₴ +96.8% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Glock-18 | Sand Dune (Factory New) · 30 693.55 ₴ · chance 10%
profit on prices without salesat least −2 106 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 5× MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0037
34.35 ₴
at 6.87
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003725f′ (normalized) 0.007760wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 3 254 · good ≈ 41
Market history: no data yet
×5
Souvenir MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0742
868.15 ₴
at 173.63
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074257f′ (normalized) 0.019266wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 902.50 ₴ +1 190.68 (+131.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.006757, 0.008108, 0.008108, 0.006351 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 7 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 50%
in profit
best
P90 | Fallout Warning
Factory New
5 763.93 ₴ 16.67%
price without deals
Steam P90 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)net 5012.12 you get 0.070000The Nuke Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 484.77 ₴ (you get 2 160.67)) · buy orders: 79
in profit
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning
Factory New
2 972.67 ₴ 16.67%
price without deals
Steam UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)net 2584.94 you get 0.070000The Nuke Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 552.42 ₴ (you get 2 219.49)) · buy orders: 114
in profit
XM1014 | Fallout Warning
Factory New
5 450.12 ₴ 16.67%
price without deals
Steam XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)net 4739.23 you get 0.070000The Nuke Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
worst
CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm
Factory New
66.07 ₴ 12.50%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New)net 57.45 you get 0.006757 sells 37 a week sell now to a buy order: 65.14 ₴ (you get 56.64)) · buy orders: 6688
at a loss
Dual Berettas | Drift Wood
Factory New
72.31 ₴ 12.50%
Steam Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New)net 62.88 you get 0.008108 sells 42 a week sell now to a buy order: 72.15 ₴ (you get 62.74)) · buy orders: 5216
at a loss
FAMAS | CaliCamo
Factory New
133.19 ₴ 12.50%
Steam FAMAS | CaliCamo (Factory New)net 115.82 you get 0.008108 sells 64 a week sell now to a buy order: 136.79 ₴ (you get 118.95)) · buy orders: 6442
at a loss
P90 | Verdant Growth
Factory New
70.03 ₴ 12.50%
Steam P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New)net 60.89 you get 0.006351 sells 21 a week sell now to a buy order: 69.65 ₴ (you get 60.56)) · buy orders: 6950
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