Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1707068 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +7 994.29₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 23 788.97₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 783.26₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +33.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 57 701.54₽ · profit at most −25 918.27₽ (at most -44.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 8192.00 → 19374.08 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 14961.30 → 36954.41 ₽
UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 635.67 → 1373.05 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 646 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 646 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), M4A4 | Cyber Security (Factory New), USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection
+7 994.29 ₽ +33.6% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −23 646 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 781.00 ₽ +58.4% chance of profit 37%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 452.01 ₽ +23.4% chance of profit 97%
expensive: M4A4 | Cyber Security (Factory New) · 12 465.22 ₽ · chance 3.3%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1648
  • 7× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0751
  • 2× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 274.37 ₽ +28.5% chance of profit 52%
expensive: M4A4 | Cyber Security (Factory New) · 12 465.22 ₽ · chance 3.3%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1619
  • 6× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 3× XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+574.93 ₽ +27.3% chance of profit 100%
expensive: Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) · 4 278.02 ₽ · chance 3.3%
rare inputs
  • 1× SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1637
  • 6× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1637
  • 3× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1637
Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+13 511.81 ₽ +61.7% chance of profit 73%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −21 903 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 6× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1627
8 192.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162760f′ (normalized) 0.138865wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
14 961.30 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003883f′ (normalized) 0.010496wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0744
635.67 ₽
at 635.67
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074438f′ (normalized) 0.106340wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 21 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 23 788.97 ₽ +7 994.29 (+33.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.071428471 result 0.057143, 0.039286, 0.082857, 0.070000, 0.050000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.057143
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.039286
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
worst
Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale
Minimal Wear
4 919.72 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear)net 4278.02 you get 0.082857The Operation Broken Fang Collection sells 14 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 993.48 ₽ (you get 4 342.15)) · buy orders: 5302 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 935.84 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 315.62 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 4 049.06 ₽ listings: 39 on CS.Money: ~ 4 008.80 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 945.41 ₽ listings: 113
at a loss
M4A4 | Cyber Security
Factory New
14 335.00 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | Cyber Security (Factory New)net 12465.22 you get 0.070000The Operation Broken Fang Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 12 992.42 ₽ (you get 11 297.75)) · buy orders: 3215 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 016.27 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 12 079.25 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 9 809.57 ₽ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 10 435.73 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 10 296.11 ₽ listings: 137
at a loss
USP-S | Monster Mashup
Factory New
7 923.97 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New)net 6890.41 you get 0.050000The Operation Broken Fang Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 315.23 ₽ (you get 6 361.06)) · buy orders: 8561 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 275.89 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 881.46 · lots 26 on CSFloat: from 5 479.55 ₽ listings: 90 on CS.Money: ~ 5 688.56 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 709.11 ₽ listings: 188
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