Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1707076 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +7 895.93₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 23 726.12₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 622.05₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +33.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 57 565.78₽ · profit at most −25 943.74₽ (at most -45.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 8192.00 → 19374.08 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 14961.30 → 36954.41 ₽
MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 572.82 → 1237.29 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 726 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 726 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Factory New), MAC-10 | Toybox (Factory New), SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection
+7 895.93 ₽ +33.3% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −23 726 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1712
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0064
  • 1× MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0064
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 282.83 ₽ +45.0% chance of profit 93%
expensive: Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Factory New) · 9 554.05 ₽ · chance 6.7%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 1× Nova | Smart Gun (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 7× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 700.77 ₽ +56.3% chance of profit 40%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+635.09 ₽ +31.4% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear) · 3 203.00 ₽ · chance 3.3%
rare inputs
  • 1× MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
  • 7× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
  • 2× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection
+12 424.74 ₽ +45.0% chance of profit 70%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 20%
profit on prices without salesat least −27 595 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 4× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+12 412.06 ₽ +83.2% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 25%
profit on prices without salesat least −14 916 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
  • 5× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1712
8 192.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.171297f′ (normalized) 0.150401wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0064
14 961.30 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006481f′ (normalized) 0.017518wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0064
572.82 ₽
at 572.82
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006481f′ (normalized) 0.010802wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 66 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 23 726.12 ₽ +7 895.93 (+33.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.038500, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.042000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.038500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
Glock-18 | Snack Attack
Factory New
10 987.16 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Factory New)net 9554.05 you get 0.070000The Operation Riptide Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 659.20 ₽ (you get 9 268.86)) · buy orders: 2927 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 796.96 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 645.80 · lots 24 on CSFloat: from 8 567.53 ₽ listings: 41 on CS.Money: ~ 8 466.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 8 120.39 ₽ listings: 108
at a loss
MAC-10 | Toybox
Factory New
5 846.69 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam MAC-10 | Toybox (Factory New)net 5084.08 you get 0.070000The Operation Riptide Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 161.78 ₽ (you get 4 488.50)) · buy orders: 3068 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 136.23 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 535.35 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 4 318.03 ₽ listings: 22 on CS.Money: ~ 4 132.15 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 954.84 ₽ listings: 41
at a loss
worst
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek
Factory New
4 782.81 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New)net 4158.97 you get 0.042000The Operation Riptide Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 3 802.02 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 168.89 · lots 51 on CSFloat: from 3 692.72 ₽ listings: 101 on CS.Money: ~ 3 994.24 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 943.70 ₽ listings: 188
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