The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +6 122.66₴

Invest 13 271.57₴

Average return 19 394.23₴

ROI +46.1%

Chance of profit 70%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 32 751.36₴ · profit at most −13 357.12₴ (at most -40.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 6 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 9407.56 → 23612.96 ₴

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 3864.01 → 9138.39 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −13 272 ₴

+ a third collection

How to build

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

9 407.56 ₴

at 1 567.93

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

3 864.01 ₴

at 966.00

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 13 271.57 ₴ +6 122.66 (+46.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −13 379 ₴

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

1 073.14 ₴

at 1 073.14

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

9 407.56 ₴

at 1 567.93

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

2 898.01 ₴

at 966.00

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 13 378.71 ₴ +5 678.48 (+42.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −13 486 ₴

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

2 146.28 ₴

at 1 073.14

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

9 407.56 ₴

at 1 567.93

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

1 932.01 ₴

at 966.00

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 13 485.84 ₴ +5 234.30 (+38.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −13 593 ₴

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

3 219.42 ₴

at 1 073.14

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

9 407.56 ₴

at 1 567.93

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

966.00 ₴

at 966.00

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 13 592.98 ₴ +4 790.12 (+35.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −13 814 ₴

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

7 839.63 ₴

at 1 567.93

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1700

3 864.01 ₴

at 966.00

souvenirSteam

×1

AWP | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

2 110.25 ₴

at 2 110.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 813.90 ₴ +5 917.38 (+42.8%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

M4A1-S | Master Piece

Factory New

24 629.00 ₴ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

29 891.61 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

11 614.29 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 3 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The 2021 Vertigo Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +841.15 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5 213.24 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1708701 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 5 023.15₴ · invest 11 409.53₴
profit on prices without salesat least −11 410 ₴ rare inputs

Souvenir MAG-7 | Prism Terrace (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build