Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
₴≈
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≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1707129 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +5 005.24₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 11 291.43₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 16 296.67₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +44.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 27 113.46₴ · profit at most −10 816.79₴ (at most -39.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 6438.84 → 16161.48 ₴
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 4703.78 → 10630.54 ₴
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 148.81 → 321.44 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −11 236 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −11 236 ₴: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection
+5 005.24 ₴ +44.3% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 25 992.70 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −11 236 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1633
  • 3× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 100.27 ₴ +42.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
Variant 3 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+778.42 ₴ +40.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 2 929.77 ₴ · chance 90%
rare inputs
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+353.49 ₴ +38.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 1 405.18 ₴ · chance 45%
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
  • 8× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
  • 1× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+262.26 ₴ +67.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) · 944.21 ₴ · chance 10%
  • 3× SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
  • 1× P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 6× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2187
Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+7 369.52 ₴ +90.2% chance of profit 60%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 29 244.79 ₴ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −7 844 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 6× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1633
6 438.84 ₴
at 1 073.14
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163351f′ (normalized) 0.139664wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 158 · from 1 787.74 ₴ (float 0.1509) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
4 703.78 ₴
at 1 567.93
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004063f′ (normalized) 0.010982wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 87 · from 2 386.50 ₴ (float 0.0012) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
148.81 ₴
at 148.81
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004063f′ (normalized) 0.004063wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 108 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 65 · from 574.07 ₴ (float 0.0038) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 11 291.43 ₴ +5 005.24 (+44.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.070000, 0.048125, 0.056875, 0.087500, 0.087500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
29 891.61 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 25992.70 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 537.46 ₴ (you get 16 989.10)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 18 157.27 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 19 909.29 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 15 484.64 ₴ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 17 674.55 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 16 289.42 ₴ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
11 614.29 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 10099.38 you get 0.048125
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 902.01 ₴ (you get 8 610.44)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 473.02 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 9 290.59 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 7 544.16 ₴ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 8 846.70 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 8 422.55 ₴ listings: 33
at a loss
AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor
Factory New
1 085.84 ₴ 3.33%
Steam AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New)net 944.21 you get 0.056875The Prisma 2 Collection sells 57 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 084.30 ₴ (you get 942.87)) · buy orders: 11577 sell on Market.CSGO: 860.38 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 943.40 · lots 68 on CSFloat: from 798.49 ₴ listings: 215 on CS.Money: ~ 873.45 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 868.06 ₴ listings: 591
at a loss
worst
MAC-10 | Disco Tech
Minimal Wear
404.76 ₴ 3.33%
Steam MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Minimal Wear)net 351.97 you get 0.087500The Prisma 2 Collection sells 219 a week sell now to a buy order: 387.32 ₴ (you get 336.80)) · buy orders: 9766 sell on Market.CSGO: 322.24 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 353.34 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 303.87 ₴ listings: 169 on CS.Money: ~ 335.73 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 314.19 ₴ listings: 116
at a loss
MAG-7 | Justice
Minimal Wear
414.76 ₴ 3.33%
Steam MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear)net 360.66 you get 0.087500The Prisma 2 Collection sells 98 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 298.19 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 326.97 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 287.71 ₴ listings: 77 on CS.Money: ~ 292.65 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 300.73 ₴ listings: 52
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