Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
₽
LanguageRU
to all crafts

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Prisma Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1707140 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +9 646.55₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 21 424.78₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 071.33₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +45.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 51 476.00₽ · profit at most −20 404.67₽ (at most -39.6%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 12288.00 → 30842.88 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 8976.78 → 20287.52 ₽
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 160.00 → 345.60 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 349 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 349 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Prisma Collection
+9 646.55 ₽ +45.0% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −21 349 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628
  • 3× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 142.59 ₽ +44.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0762
Variant 3 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 528.37 ₽ +42.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 90%
rare inputs
  • 1× UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+679.11 ₽ +39.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 9× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1653
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection
+12 424.74 ₽ +45.0% chance of profit 70%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 20%
profit on prices without salesat least −27 595 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 4× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Prisma Collection
+11 684.61 ₽ +46.1% chance of profit 70%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −25 328 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
  • 4× Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1706

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1628
12 288.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162814f′ (normalized) 0.138937wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
8 976.78 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003899f′ (normalized) 0.010540wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
UMP-45 | Moonrise
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
160.00 ₽
at 160.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003899f′ (normalized) 0.009749wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 368 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 500.00 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 21 424.78 ₽ +9 646.55 (+45.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.070000, 0.048125, 0.133125, 0.298125, 0.184625 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.048125
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
AUG | Momentum
Minimal Wear
1 432.32 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear)net 1245.50 you get 0.133125The Prisma Collection sells 42 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 392.28 ₽ (you get 1 210.67)) · buy orders: 6254 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 059.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 161.43 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 1 038.18 ₽ listings: 99 on CS.Money: ~ 1 115.27 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 169.23 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher
Field-Tested
598.80 ₽ 3.33%
Steam R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested)net 520.70 you get 0.298125The Prisma Collection sells 169 a week sell now to a buy order: 653.11 ₽ (you get 567.92)) · buy orders: 8341 sell on Market.CSGO: 516.98 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 566.87 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 523.37 ₽ listings: 156 on CS.Money: ~ 489.96 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 507.95 ₽ listings: 96
at a loss
worst
XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
585.95 ₽ 3.33%
Steam XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested)net 509.52 you get 0.184625The Prisma Collection sells 288 a week sell now to a buy order: 586.17 ₽ (you get 509.71)) · buy orders: 12484 sell on Market.CSGO: 446.63 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 489.73 · lots 78 on CSFloat: from 453.13 ₽ listings: 268 on CS.Money: ~ 449.71 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 465.12 ₽ listings: 177
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work