Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1707173 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +4 107.60₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 12 426.82₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 16 534.42₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +33.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 30 152.19₴ · profit at most −13 617.77₴ (at most -45.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 4292.56 → 10151.90 ₴
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 7839.63 → 19363.89 ₴
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 294.63 → 636.40 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −12 134 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −12 134 ₴: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection
+4 107.60 ₴ +33.1% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 25 992.70 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −12 134 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1714
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0065
  • 1× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0065
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 165.14 ₴ +42.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+923.63 ₴ +70.3% chance of profit 83%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 2 929.77 ₴ · chance 50%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 5× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+859.74 ₴ +46.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 2 929.77 ₴ · chance 90%
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2193
Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+846.22 ₴ +40.3% chance of profit 93%
expensive: Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New) · 5 777.04 ₴ · chance 6.7%
rare inputs
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 1× P2000 | Obsidian (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
  • 1 more
Variant 6 only The Radiant Collection
+843.29 ₴ +40.4% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 2 929.77 ₴ · chance 100%
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0751
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1714
4 292.56 ₴
at 1 073.14
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.171410f′ (normalized) 0.150554wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0065
7 839.63 ₴
at 1 567.93
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006516f′ (normalized) 0.017611wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0065
294.63 ₴
at 294.63
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006516f′ (normalized) 0.009725wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 340 · good ≈ 7
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 12 426.82 ₴ +4 107.60 (+33.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.038500, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
29 891.61 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 25992.70 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 537.46 ₴ (you get 16 989.10)) · buy orders: 485
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
11 614.29 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 10099.38 you get 0.038500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 902.01 ₴ (you get 8 610.44)) · buy orders: 445
at a loss
worst
AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge
Factory New
3 369.23 ₴ 10.00%
Steam AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New)net 2929.77 you get 0.070000The Radiant Collection sells 45 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 250.90 ₴ (you get 2 826.87)) · buy orders: 4085
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