Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Recoil Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1707181 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +9 673.27₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 21 401.71₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 074.98₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +45.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 51 426.17₽ · profit at most −20 351.19₽ (at most -39.6%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 12288.00 → 30842.88 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 8976.78 → 20287.52 ₽
M249 | Downtown (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 136.93 → 295.77 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 322 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 322 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Recoil Collection
+9 673.27 ₽ +45.2% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −21 322 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 3× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 1× M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 180.22 ₽ +45.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+701.74 ₽ +40.9% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 45%
  • 1× M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
  • 9× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1658
Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+14 385.96 ₽ +95.8% chance of profit 60%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −14 649 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 6× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+12 424.74 ₽ +45.0% chance of profit 70%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 20%
profit on prices without salesat least −27 595 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 4× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+11 684.61 ₽ +46.1% chance of profit 70%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −25 328 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
  • 4× Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1706

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1631
12 288.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163153f′ (normalized) 0.139396wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
8 976.78 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004003f′ (normalized) 0.010819wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
M249 | Downtown
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
136.93 ₽
at 136.93
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004003f′ (normalized) 0.006158wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 1 015 · good ≈ 13
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · among lots up to 213.05 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 21 401.71 ₽ +9 673.27 (+45.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.070000, 0.048125, 0.067375, 0.061250, 0.087500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.048125
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
Factory New
1 404.87 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New)net 1221.63 you get 0.067375The Recoil Collection sells 331 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 381.77 ₽ (you get 1 201.53)) · buy orders: 8906 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 134.68 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 244.17 · lots 89 on CSFloat: from 1 055.31 ₽ listings: 547 on CS.Money: ~ 1 131.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 121.26 ₽ listings: 777
at a loss
P250 | Visions
Factory New
770.96 ₽ 3.33%
Steam P250 | Visions (Factory New)net 670.40 you get 0.061250The Recoil Collection sells 115 a week sell now to a buy order: 852.01 ₽ (you get 740.87)) · buy orders: 4816 sell on Market.CSGO: 654.81 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 718.00 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 603.89 ₽ listings: 235 on CS.Money: ~ 640.72 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 650.15 ₽ listings: 233
at a loss
worst
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
567.10 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear)net 493.13 you get 0.087500The Recoil Collection sells 237 a week sell now to a buy order: 557.49 ₽ (you get 484.77)) · buy orders: 9806 sell on Market.CSGO: 459.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 504.20 · lots 38 on CSFloat: from 410.30 ₽ listings: 182 on CS.Money: ~ 445.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 446.28 ₽ listings: 151
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