Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Revolution Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1707195 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +4 130.04₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 12 169.55₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 16 299.58₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +33.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 29 596.48₴ · profit at most −13 296.90₴ (at most -44.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 4292.56 → 10151.90 ₴
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 7839.63 → 19363.89 ₴
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 37.36 → 80.70 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −12 111 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −12 111 ₴: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Revolution Collection
+4 130.04 ₴ +33.9% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 25 992.70 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −12 111 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1645
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 181.58 ₴ +47.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2217
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0755
Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+393.55 ₴ +45.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 1 405.18 ₴ · chance 45%
  • 1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2207
  • 9× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1645
Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+379.98 ₴ +70.5% chance of profit 80%
expensive: G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) · 1 731.72 ₴ · chance 13%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 8 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2190
  • 3× M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
  • 1× MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+347.63 ₴ +55.8% chance of profit 67%
expensive: M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) · 1 929.01 ₴ · chance 20%
rare inputs
  • 4× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2188
  • 1× SG 553 | Phantom (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 5× XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+333.43 ₴ +69.5% chance of profit 67%
expensive: AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) · 2 575.38 ₴ · chance 10%
rare inputs
  • 1× P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 6× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2187
  • 3× PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1645
4 292.56 ₴
at 1 073.14
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164546f′ (normalized) 0.141278wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0044
7 839.63 ₴
at 1 567.93
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004427f′ (normalized) 0.011965wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0750
37.36 ₴
at 37.36
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075059f′ (normalized) 0.075059wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 710 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 12 169.55 ₴ +4 130.04 (+33.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.038500, 0.056000, 0.070000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
29 891.61 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 25992.70 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 537.46 ₴ (you get 16 989.10)) · buy orders: 485
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
11 614.29 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 10099.38 you get 0.038500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 902.01 ₴ (you get 8 610.44)) · buy orders: 445
at a loss
worst
AWP | Duality
Factory New
497.00 ₴ 3.33%
Steam AWP | Duality (Factory New)net 432.17 you get 0.056000The Revolution Collection sells 188 a week sell now to a buy order: 521.60 ₴ (you get 453.57)) · buy orders: 5788
at a loss
P2000 | Wicked Sick
Factory New
722.69 ₴ 3.33%
Steam P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New)net 628.43 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection sells 70 a week no buy orders
at a loss
UMP-45 | Wild Child
Factory New
786.31 ₴ 3.33%
Steam UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)net 683.74 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection sells 57 a week sell now to a buy order: 762.62 ₴ (you get 663.15)) · buy orders: 6651
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