Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1707248 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +8 014.26₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 23 553.38₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 567.64₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +34.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 57 192.66₽ · profit at most −25 625.03₽ (at most -44.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 8192.00 → 19374.08 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 14961.30 → 36954.41 ₽
PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 400.08 → 864.17 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 507 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −23 507 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New), SG 553 | Colony IV (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Shattered Web Collection
+8 014.26 ₽ +34.0% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −23 507 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1645
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 786.56 ₽ +31.6% chance of profit 93%
expensive: Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New) · 11 025.02 ₽ · chance 3.3%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 8× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+601.29 ₽ +30.6% chance of profit 93%
expensive: Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) · 3 270.51 ₽ · chance 3.3%
rare inputs
  • 1× P2000 | Obsidian (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
  • 6× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
  • 3× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+14 661.82 ₽ +79.0% chance of profit 60%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −18 563 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 6× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection
+12 424.74 ₽ +45.0% chance of profit 70%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 20%
profit on prices without salesat least −27 595 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 4× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection
+11 684.61 ₽ +46.1% chance of profit 70%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −25 328 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
  • 4× Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1706

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1645
8 192.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164546f′ (normalized) 0.141278wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0044
14 961.30 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004427f′ (normalized) 0.011965wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
PP-Bizon | Embargo
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0750
400.08 ₽
at 400.08
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075059f′ (normalized) 0.075059wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 29 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 23 553.38 ₽ +8 014.26 (+34.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.038500, 0.070000, 0.172200, 0.052500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.038500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
SG 553 | Colony IV
Factory New
5 473.44 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam SG 553 | Colony IV (Factory New)net 4759.51 you get 0.070000The Shattered Web Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 422.61 ₽ (you get 3 845.74)) · buy orders: 2337 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 015.33 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 402.78 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 3 530.83 ₽ listings: 40 on CS.Money: ~ 3 423.76 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 528.26 ₽ listings: 56
at a loss
worst
SSG 08 | Bloodshot
Field-Tested
1 587.37 ₽ 3.33%
Steam SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested)net 1380.32 you get 0.172200The Shattered Web Collection sells 161 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 619.87 ₽ (you get 1 408.58)) · buy orders: 13088 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 720.94 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 887.00 · lots 24 on CSFloat: from 1 330.27 ₽ listings: 177 on CS.Money: ~ 1 421.07 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 408.22 ₽ listings: 178
at a loss
Tec-9 | Decimator
Factory New
12 678.77 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New)net 11025.02 you get 0.052500The Shattered Web Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 9 433.27 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 10 343.50 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 8 774.82 ₽ listings: 53 on CS.Money: ~ 8 850.20 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 8 808.22 ₽ listings: 67
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