Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1707262 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +4 141.62₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 12 177.61₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 16 319.23₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +34.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 29 613.89₴ · profit at most −13 294.66₴ (at most -44.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 4292.56 → 10151.90 ₴
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 7839.63 → 19363.89 ₴
P250 | Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 45.42 → 98.11 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −12 153 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −12 153 ₴: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New), XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Snakebite Collection
+4 141.62 ₴ +34.0% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 25 992.70 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −12 153 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 1× P250 | Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 158.89 ₴ +46.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+362.12 ₴ +40.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 1 405.18 ₴ · chance 45%
  • 1× P250 | Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 8× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628
  • 1× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628
Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+7 604.02 ₴ +96.0% chance of profit 60%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 29 244.79 ₴ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −7 824 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 6× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection
+6 510.49 ₴ +45.0% chance of profit 70%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 29 244.79 ₴ · chance 20%
profit on prices without salesat least −14 460 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 4× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection
+6 122.67 ₴ +46.1% chance of profit 70%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 25 992.70 ₴ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −13 272 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
  • 4× Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1706

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1632
4 292.56 ₴
at 1 073.14
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163211f′ (normalized) 0.139475wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 158 · from 1 787.74 ₴ (float 0.1509) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
7 839.63 ₴
at 1 567.93
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004020f′ (normalized) 0.010867wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 87 · from 2 386.50 ₴ (float 0.0012) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
P250 | Cyber Shell
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0745
45.42 ₴
at 45.42
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074595f′ (normalized) 0.087759wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 157 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 142) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 12 177.61 ₴ +4 141.62 (+34.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.038500, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.063000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
29 891.61 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 25992.70 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 537.46 ₴ (you get 16 989.10)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 18 157.27 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 19 909.29 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 15 484.64 ₴ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 17 674.55 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 16 289.42 ₴ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
11 614.29 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 10099.38 you get 0.038500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 902.01 ₴ (you get 8 610.44)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 473.02 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 9 290.59 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 7 544.16 ₴ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 8 846.70 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 8 422.55 ₴ listings: 33
at a loss
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
1 121.36 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)net 975.10 you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 991.10 ₴ (you get 861.83)) · buy orders: 5395 sell on Market.CSGO: 826.80 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 906.59 · lots 37 on CSFloat: from 752.71 ₴ listings: 106 on CS.Money: ~ 759.89 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 766.17 ₴ listings: 230
at a loss
MP9 | Food Chain
Factory New
839.85 ₴ 3.33%
Steam MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New)net 730.31 you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collection sells 29 a week sell now to a buy order: 836.27 ₴ (you get 727.19)) · buy orders: 6363 sell on Market.CSGO: 686.23 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 752.45 · lots 35 on CSFloat: from 635.11 ₴ listings: 149 on CS.Money: ~ 695.26 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 669.67 ₴ listings: 139
at a loss
worst
XM1014 | XOXO
Factory New
722.59 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New)net 628.34 you get 0.063000The Snakebite Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 623.08 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 683.20 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 632.87 ₴ listings: 88 on CS.Money: ~ 553.87 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 539.06 ₴ listings: 78
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