Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1707271 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +5 089.23₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 11 254.36₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 16 343.59₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +45.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 27 033.39₴ · profit at most −10 689.80₴ (at most -39.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 6438.84 → 16161.48 ₴
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 4703.78 → 10630.54 ₴
UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 111.75 → 241.37 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −11 152 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −11 152 ₴: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection
+5 089.23 ₴ +45.2% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 25 992.70 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −11 152 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 3× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 178.09 ₴ +46.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+355.85 ₴ +37.9% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 1 405.18 ₴ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 9× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
Variant 4 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+248.51 ₴ +29.6% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Glock-18 | AXIA (Factory New) · 2 099.78 ₴ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 9× XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 1× Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+6 576.49 ₴ +95.7% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 29 244.79 ₴ · chance 25%
profit on prices without salesat least −6 553 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 5× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection
+6 510.49 ₴ +45.0% chance of profit 70%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 29 244.79 ₴ · chance 20%
profit on prices without salesat least −14 460 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 4× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1630
6 438.84 ₴
at 1 073.14
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163053f′ (normalized) 0.139260wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
4 703.78 ₴
at 1 567.93
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003972f′ (normalized) 0.010736wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
UMP-45 | Exposure
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
111.75 ₴
at 111.75
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003972f′ (normalized) 0.007223wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 206 · good ≈ 8
on the market with this float, usually ~8, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 002.12 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 11 254.36 ₴ +5 089.23 (+45.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.070000, 0.048125, 0.087500, 0.061250, 0.088625 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
29 891.61 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 25992.70 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 537.46 ₴ (you get 16 989.10)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 18 157.27 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 19 909.29 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 15 484.64 ₴ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 17 674.55 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 16 289.42 ₴ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
11 614.29 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 10099.38 you get 0.048125
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 902.01 ₴ (you get 8 610.44)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 473.02 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 9 290.59 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 7 544.16 ₴ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 8 846.70 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 8 422.55 ₴ listings: 33
at a loss
worst
PP-Bizon | High Roller
Minimal Wear
646.91 ₴ 3.33%
Steam PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear)net 562.53 you get 0.087500The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 62 a week sell now to a buy order: 600.77 ₴ (you get 522.41)) · buy orders: 7140 sell on Market.CSGO: 497.20 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 545.18 · lots 30 on CSFloat: from 459.17 ₴ listings: 56 on CS.Money: ~ 469.04 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 494.18 ₴ listings: 86
at a loss
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass
Factory New
2 218.36 ₴ 3.33%
Steam M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New)net 1929.01 you get 0.061250The Spectrum 2 Collection sells ≈28 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 2 220.71 ₴ (you get 1 931.05)) · buy orders: 3941 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 765.77 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 936.15 · lots 63 on CSFloat: from 1 674.19 ₴ listings: 132 on CS.Money: ~ 1 808.39 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 737.02 ₴ listings: 245
at a loss
R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon
Minimal Wear
658.95 ₴ 3.33%
Steam R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear)net 573.00 you get 0.088625The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 55 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 510.38 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 559.63 · lots 26 on CSFloat: from 445.70 ₴ listings: 56 on CS.Money: ~ 482.50 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 485.20 ₴ listings: 78
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