Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
₸≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 5.2744 ₸. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1707272 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +41 842.05₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 122 878.05₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 164 720.10₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +34.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 298 736.71₸ · profit at most −134 016.57₸ (at most -44.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 43207.64 → 102186.06 ₸
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 78911.43 → 194911.23 ₸
XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 758.98 → 1639.40 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −122 039 ₸ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −122 039 ₸: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection
+41 842.07 ₸ +34.1% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 261 634.95 ₸ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −122 039 ₸ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 5× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 1× XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+11 858.30 ₸ +46.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 41 681.97 ₸ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+3 581.93 ₸ +37.9% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 14 144.17 ₸ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 9× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
Variant 4 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 501.45 ₸ +29.6% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Glock-18 | AXIA (Factory New) · 21 135.77 ₸ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 9× XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 1× Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+66 197.01 ₸ +95.7% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 294 369.54 ₸ · chance 25%
profit on prices without salesat least −65 956 ₸ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 5× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection
+65 532.69 ₸ +45.0% chance of profit 70%
expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 294 369.54 ₸ · chance 20%
profit on prices without salesat least −145 548 ₸ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 4× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1616
43 207.64 ₸
at 10 801.91
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161627f′ (normalized) 0.137334wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0035
78 911.43 ₸
at 15 782.29
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003538f′ (normalized) 0.009564wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
XM1014 | Ziggy
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0740
758.98 ₸
at 758.98
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074044f′ (normalized) 0.102839wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 122 878.05 ₸ +41 842.05 (+34.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.038500, 0.070000, 0.049000, 0.076900 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
300 880.22 ₸ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 261634.95 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 196 658.41 ₸ (you get 171 007.30)) · buy orders: 485
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
116 906.09 ₸ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 101657.46 you get 0.038500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 99 670.77 ₸ (you get 86 670.18)) · buy orders: 445
at a loss
PP-Bizon | High Roller
Factory New
13 766.63 ₸ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New)net 11970.97 you get 0.070000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 100.86 ₸ (you get 9 652.89)) · buy orders: 1596
at a loss
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass
Factory New
22 329.36 ₸ 3.33%
Steam M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New)net 19416.85 you get 0.049000The Spectrum 2 Collection sells ≈28 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 22 353.04 ₸ (you get 19 437.42)) · buy orders: 3941
at a loss
worst
R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon
Minimal Wear
6 632.84 ₸ 3.33%
Steam R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear)net 5767.68 you get 0.076900The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 55 a week no buy orders
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