Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1707330 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 920.77₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 271.45₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 3 192.22₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +151.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 40%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 247.83₴ · profit at most −55.62₴ (at most -1.7%) · chance of profit at most 33%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
M249 | Humidor (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 204.42 → 441.55 ₴
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) × 9 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 1067.03 → 2806.29 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −961 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −961 ₴: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New), Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New), AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+1 920.77 ₴ +151.1% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 8 976.64 ₴ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −961 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Humidor (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+244.37 ₴ +66.5% chance of profit 28%
expensive: Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New) · 1 777.74 ₴ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 10 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
  • 7× Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
  • 2× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
Variant 3 The Mirage Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+15 980.54 ₴ +152.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 413 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Humidor (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+3 540.73 ₴ +75.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 10 934.16 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −4 644 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Humidor (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
Variant 5 only The Train 2025 Collection
+2 094.27 ₴ +176.6% chance of profit 33%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 8 976.64 ₴ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −898 ₴
  • 10× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0079
Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 070.21 ₴ +160.5% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 8 976.64 ₴ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 031 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0064
  • 1× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0245

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
M249 | Humidor
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0075
204.42 ₴
at 204.42
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007568f′ (normalized) 0.015137wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 36 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×9
XM1014 | Run Run Run
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0075
1 067.03 ₴
at 118.56
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007568f′ (normalized) 0.010138wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 505 · good ≈ 39
on the market with this float, usually ~19, new ~1.65 per day, cheapest usually 785.03 ₴ · among lots up to 1 729.18 ₴
Set · 10 pcs 1 271.45 ₴ +1 920.77 (+151.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.010638198 result 0.007447, 0.010638, 0.070000, 0.005319, 0.067872, 0.003936 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 40%
  • Losing outcome 60%
at a loss
worst
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
380.10 ₴ 30.00%
Steam MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)net 330.52 you get 0.007447The Train 2025 Collection sells 74 a week sell now to a buy order: 360.27 ₴ (you get 313.27)) · buy orders: 1828 sell on Market.CSGO: 303.41 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 332.69 · lots 72 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 305.22 ₴ listings: 384 on CS.Money: ~ 301.18 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 288.61 ₴ listings: 620
at a loss
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Factory New
612.27 ₴ 30.00%
Steam Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)net 532.41 you get 0.010638The Train 2025 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 548.17 ₴ (you get 476.66)) · buy orders: 1772 sell on Market.CSGO: 433.46 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 475.29 · lots 90 on CSFloat: from 447.05 ₴ listings: 284 on CS.Money: ~ 494.62 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 441.21 ₴ listings: 356
in profit
best
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Factory New
10 323.14 ₴ 30.00%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New)net 8976.64 you get 0.070000The Train 2025 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 7 713.86 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 8 458.18 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 7 032.93 ₴ listings: 207 on CS.Money: ~ 7 593.53 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 7 178.80 ₴ listings: 118
in profit
AUG | Sand Storm
Factory New
1 885.71 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)net 1639.74 you get 0.005319
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 675.55 ₴ (you get 1 457.00)) · buy orders: 5036 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 433.65 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 571.98 · lots 21 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 1 301.65 ₴ listings: 37 on CS.Money: ~ 1 372.11 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 438.10 ₴ listings: 57
in profit
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Factory New
4 609.88 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New)net 4008.59 you get 0.067872
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 066.13 ₴ (you get 3 535.76)) · buy orders: 1121 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 584.12 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 929.95 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 3 208.33 ₴ listings: 36 on CS.Money: ~ 3 170.63 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 3 145.94 ₴ listings: 34
in profit
XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
1 796.46 ₴ 3.33%
Steam XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New)net 1562.14 you get 0.003936 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 545.78 ₴ (you get 1 344.15)) · buy orders: 1152 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 308.83 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 435.12 · lots 11 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 1 254.97 ₴ listings: 24 on CS.Money: ~ 1 364.49 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 299.85 ₴ listings: 45
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