The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +3 459.78₸

Invest 20 526.58₸

Average return 23 986.36₸

ROI +16.9%

Chance of profit 48%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 50 092.80₸ · profit at most −26 106.50₸ (at most -52.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 3687.36 → 7964.71 ₸

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 13384.66 → 34666.28 ₸

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 3454.55 → 7461.84 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection

+3 459.77 ₸ +16.9% chance of profit 48%

expensive: FAMAS | Meltdown (Factory New) · 36 430.44 ₸ · chance 3.3%

outcome without sales

1× P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
8× P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
1× Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+9 657.80 ₸ +33.8% chance of profit 40%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 94 491.34 ₸ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1684
6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

+9 455.34 ₸ +59.2% chance of profit 40%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 66 954.06 ₸ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616

Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+8 692.98 ₸ +48.3% chance of profit 40%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 66 954.06 ₸ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650

Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+8 321.13 ₸ +26.4% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 41 681.97 ₸ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0762

Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+7 018.13 ₸ +30.3% chance of profit 100%

expensive: USP-S | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) · 38 457.01 ₸ · chance 3.3%

outcome without sales

1× P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
5× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

P2000 | Space Race

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

3 687.36 ₸

at 3 687.36

Steam

×8

P250 | Lotus Imprint

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

13 384.66 ₸

at 1 673.08

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

3 454.55 ₸

at 3 454.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20 526.58 ₸ +3 459.78 (+16.9%)

profit on prices without sales at least −2 234 ₸

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

P2000 | Space Race

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

7 374.73 ₸

at 3 687.36

Steam

×7

P250 | Lotus Imprint

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

11 711.58 ₸

at 1 673.08

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

3 454.55 ₸

at 3 454.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22 540.86 ₸ +1 521.29 (+6.8%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 48%
About break-even 3%

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Minimal Wear

19 921.03 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Falak

Minimal Wear

35 073.29 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

41 895.00 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

22 878.53 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Whiteout

Field-Tested

20 332.22 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 646.03 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 818.57 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Arabesque Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1712032 · The Arabesque Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 3 337.74₸ · invest 18 843.90₸
USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164697 instead of 0.162694; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075112 instead of 0.074415
Craft 1712336 · The Arabesque Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 3 220.12₸ · invest 19 555.52₸
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.162694; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.074415
Craft 1712041 · The Arabesque Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 3 154.24₸ · invest 18 917.90₸
rare inputs

G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164697 instead of 0.162694; Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075112 instead of 0.074415

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build