Crafts · The 2021 Train Collection
$≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.0117 $. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Train Collection + The Mirage Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1707581 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +353.94$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 231.84$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 585.78$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +152.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 589.79$ · profit at most −4.01$ (at most -0.7%) · chance of profit at most 90%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 3.24 → 6.99 $
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 21.60 → 46.65 $
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 207.01 → 536.15 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −231 $ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −231 $: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New), AWP | POP AWP (Factory New), P2000 | Space Race (Factory New), CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New), Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Mirage Collection
+353.94 $ +152.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −231 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 2 only The Mirage Collection
+394.23 $ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 100%
profit on prices without salesat least −254 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection
+363.91 $ +151.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −240 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection
+357.53 $ +154.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −230 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0838
Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection
+355.63 $ +151.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −235 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection
+355.53 $ +155.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −228 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
AUG | Amber Fade
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
3.24 $
at 3.24
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003860f′ (normalized) 0.009652wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 283 · good ≈ 3
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 153 · from 6.06 $ (float 0.0029) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
UMP-45 | Blaze
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
21.60 $
at 21.60
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003860f′ (normalized) 0.048262wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 91 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 58.37 $ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 396 · from 21.56 $ (float 0.0037) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
MAC-10 | Amber Fade
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
207.01 $
at 25.88
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003860f′ (normalized) 0.009652wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 62) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 231.84 $ +353.94 (+152.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.005946, 0.009459, 0.008108, 0.007838, 0.005405 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
MAG-7 | Bulldozer
Factory New
746.02 $ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)net 648.71 you get 0.070000The Mirage Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 203.17 $ (you get 176.67)) · buy orders: 202 sell on Market.CSGO: 232.82 $ to your card cheapest lot 255.28 · lots 4 CSFloat: price does not match Steam — not shown CS.Money: price does not match Steam — not shown Lis-Skins: price does not match Steam — not shown
at a loss
AWP | POP AWP
Factory New
33.43 $ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam AWP | POP AWP (Factory New)net 29.07 you get 0.005946
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 32.92 $ (you get 28.63)) · buy orders: 17555 sell on Market.CSGO: 28.07 $ to your card cheapest lot 30.78 · lots 133 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 25.88 $ listings: 235 on CS.Money: ~ 27.60 $ on Lis-Skins: from 26.01 $ listings: 303
at a loss
CZ75-Auto | Syndicate
Factory New
17.15 $ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New)net 14.91 you get 0.009459
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 16.05 $ (you get 13.96)) · buy orders: 5982 sell on Market.CSGO: 13.59 $ to your card cheapest lot 14.91 · lots 38 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 12.68 $ listings: 97 on CS.Money: ~ 13.38 $ on Lis-Skins: from 13.86 $ listings: 84
at a loss
P2000 | Space Race
Factory New
23.29 $ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam P2000 | Space Race (Factory New)net 20.25 you get 0.008108
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 18.16 $ to your card cheapest lot 19.92 · lots 23 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 17.90 $ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 18.04 $ on Lis-Skins: from 17.79 $ listings: 54
at a loss
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Factory New
22.01 $ 2.00%
Steam MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New)net 19.14 you get 0.007838 sells 16 a week sell now to a buy order: 19.36 $ (you get 16.83)) · buy orders: 5265 sell on Market.CSGO: 17.68 $ to your card cheapest lot 19.39 · lots 8 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 16.00 $ listings: 58 on CS.Money: ~ 17.29 $ on Lis-Skins: from 16.40 $ listings: 50
at a loss
worst
Nova | Red Quartz
Factory New
15.64 $ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New)net 13.60 you get 0.005405
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13.09 $ (you get 11.39)) · buy orders: 6040 sell on Market.CSGO: 10.64 $ to your card cheapest lot 11.66 · lots 9 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 10.10 $ listings: 69 on CS.Money: ~ 10.39 $ on Lis-Skins: from 9.62 $ listings: 64
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