Crafts · The 2021 Train Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1707608 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +2 085.43₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 3 667.79₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 753.23₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +56.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 8 906.58₴ · profit at most −3 153.35₴ (at most -35.4%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 1 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 145.29 → 313.83 ₴
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested) × 4 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 1027.01 → 2428.87 ₴
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) × 5 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 2495.49 → 6163.87 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −2 905 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −2 905 ₴: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New), AWP | POP AWP (Factory New), P2000 | Space Race (Factory New), CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New), Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass Collection
+2 085.43 ₴ +56.9% chance of profit 45%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 10 934.16 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −2 905 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0070
  • 4× Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1731
  • 5× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0070
Variant 2 The Mirage Collection instead of The Overpass Collection
+15 886.37 ₴ +152.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 389 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 3 only The Overpass Collection
+3 894.23 ₴ +78.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 10 934.16 ₴ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −4 991 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 10× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection
+3 714.23 ₴ +80.6% chance of profit 93%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 10 934.16 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −4 582 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
  • 1× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection
+3 690.18 ₴ +78.3% chance of profit 93%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 10 934.16 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −4 715 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 1× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0242
Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection
+3 607.62 ₴ +78.0% chance of profit 92%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 10 934.16 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −4 567 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0066
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0866

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
AUG | Amber Fade
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0070
145.29 ₴
at 145.29
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007055f′ (normalized) 0.017639wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 283 · good ≈ 6
Market history: no data yet
×4
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1731
1 027.01 ₴
at 256.75
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.173183f′ (normalized) 0.152950wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 71 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 673.91 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
×5
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0070
2 495.49 ₴
at 499.10
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007055f′ (normalized) 0.014111wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 17 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 3 667.79 ₴ +2 085.43 (+56.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.111800, 0.070000, 0.030800, 0.049000, 0.042000, 0.040600, 0.028000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 7 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
at a loss
AWP | Pink DDPAT
Minimal Wear
1 905.93 ₴ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)net 1657.34 you get 0.111800The Overpass Collection sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 900.03 ₴ (you get 1 652.20)) · buy orders: 759
in profit
best
USP-S | Road Rash
Factory New
12 574.29 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New)net 10934.16 you get 0.070000The Overpass Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
AWP | POP AWP
Factory New
1 500.31 ₴ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam AWP | POP AWP (Factory New)net 1304.62 you get 0.030800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 477.64 ₴ (you get 1 284.90)) · buy orders: 17555
at a loss
CZ75-Auto | Syndicate
Factory New
769.74 ₴ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New)net 669.33 you get 0.049000
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 720.53 ₴ (you get 626.54)) · buy orders: 5982
at a loss
P2000 | Space Race
Factory New
1 045.28 ₴ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam P2000 | Space Race (Factory New)net 908.94 you get 0.042000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Factory New
988.02 ₴ 2.00%
Steam MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New)net 859.15 you get 0.040600 sells 16 a week sell now to a buy order: 868.84 ₴ (you get 755.52)) · buy orders: 5265
at a loss
worst
Nova | Red Quartz
Factory New
702.03 ₴ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New)net 610.46 you get 0.028000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 587.75 ₴ (you get 511.08)) · buy orders: 6040
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