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The 2021 Train Collection + The Radiant Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +1 330.61₽

Invest 4 392.18₽

Average return 5 722.79₽

ROI +30.3%

Chance of profit 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 10 395.80₽ · profit at most −4 673.01₽ (at most -45.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 699.11 → 1510.08 ₽

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) × 5 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 1443.95 → 3566.56 ₽

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 2249.12 → 5319.17 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Radiant Collection

+1 330.61 ₽ +30.3% chance of profit 100%

expensive: USP-S | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) · 7 291.30 ₽ · chance 3.3%

outcome without sales

1× P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
5× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

+2 223.57 ₽ +42.8% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767

Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

+1 831.08 ₽ +33.8% chance of profit 40%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1684
6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

+1 762.68 ₽ +70.3% chance of profit 83%

expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 50%

sells slowly

1× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
5× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035

Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

+1 648.16 ₽ +48.3% chance of profit 40%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650

Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

+1 640.74 ₽ +46.8% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 90%

6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2193

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

P2000 | Space Race

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

699.11 ₽

at 699.11

Steam

×5

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

1 443.95 ₽

at 288.79

Steam

×4

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

2 249.12 ₽

at 562.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 392.18 ₽ +1 330.61 (+30.3%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

P2000 | Space Race

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

699.11 ₽

at 699.11

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

850.00 ₽

at 850.00

Steam

×4

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1 155.16 ₽

at 288.79

Steam

×4

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

2 249.12 ₽

at 562.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 953.39 ₽ +900.97 (+18.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

worst

AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge

Factory New

6 429.90 ₽ 90.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

7 943.13 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

7 500.81 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

8 385.00 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +683.59 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 086.36 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1740541 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 338.34₽ · invest 3 950.18₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear); M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077862 instead of 0.074246; M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New): float at most 0.006879 instead of 0.003715

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Radiant Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build