Crafts · The 2021 Vertigo Collection
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≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1708217 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +12 117.94₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 27 331.93₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 39 449.87₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +44.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 60%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 67 791.03₴ · profit at most −28 341.15₴ (at most -41.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 24242.13 → 60847.74 ₴
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 396.75 → 856.99 ₴
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 2693.06 → 6086.31 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −25 999 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −25 999 ₴: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+12 117.94 ₴ +44.3% chance of profit 60%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) · 63 528.61 ₴ · chance 60%
profit on prices without salesat least −25 999 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1621
  • 1× MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
  • 3× FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
Variant 2 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+4 478.84 ₴ +37.2% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 53 663.26 ₴ · chance 20%
marketplace price sells slowly 40% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
  • 8× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+2 859.06 ₴ +25.8% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 53 663.26 ₴ · chance 20%
marketplace price float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1699
  • 8× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+2 573.20 ₴ +24.5% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 53 663.26 ₴ · chance 20%
marketplace price rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
  • 1× M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
  • 7× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+2 247.68 ₴ +19.7% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 53 663.26 ₴ · chance 20%
marketplace price rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1686
  • 2× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
  • 6× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+2 160.89 ₴ +17.9% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 53 663.26 ₴ · chance 20%
marketplace price sells slowly 40% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 7× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1621
24 242.13 ₴
at 4 040.35
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162125f′ (normalized) 0.298285wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 20 · from 5 405.87 ₴ (float 0.1570) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0742
396.75 ₴
at 396.75
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074217f′ (normalized) 0.074217wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 286 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 486) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0036
2 693.06 ₴
at 897.69
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003690f′ (normalized) 0.003690wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 166 · good ≈ 9
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 1 827.17 ₴ · among lots up to 1 843.55 ₴
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 196 · from 2 937.23 ₴ (float 0.0004) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 27 331.93 ₴ +12 117.94 (+44.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.187499900 result 0.150000, 0.187500, 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 60%
  • Losing outcome 40%
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger
Minimal Wear
73 057.91 ₴ 60.00%
price without deals
Steam M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear)net 63528.61 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 36 843.69 ₴ (you get 32 037.99)) · buy orders: 221 sell on Market.CSGO: 43 175.81 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 47 341.89 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 38 827.19 ₴ listings: 12 on CS.Money: ~ 39 296.68 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 36 849.59 ₴ listings: 29
at a loss
worst
AK-47 | Nightwish
Field-Tested
3 778.67 ₴ 20.00%
Steam AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested)net 3285.80 you get 0.187500The Dreams & Nightmares Collection sells 533 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 480.39 ₴ (you get 3 026.42)) · buy orders: 8731 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 669.93 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 2 927.55 · lots 274 on CSFloat: from 2 551.67 ₴ listings: 410 on CS.Money: ~ 2 734.35 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 2 753.66 ₴ listings: 533
at a loss
MP9 | Starlight Protector
Minimal Wear
3 884.40 ₴ 20.00%
Steam MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear)net 3377.74 you get 0.150000The Dreams & Nightmares Collection sells 333 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 605.65 ₴ (you get 3 135.35)) · buy orders: 4774 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 845.61 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 120.18 · lots 46 on CSFloat: from 2 776.99 ₴ listings: 151 on CS.Money: ~ 2 989.30 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 2 877.98 ₴ listings: 143
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